Europa Conference League · resolved market
Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b0a968fcd4a38a2e2d89d40566d38ab3567fb583a330459884258cf090a85c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 40c | 9,746$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810.98 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 7,942$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 3,000$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.43 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 2,880$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.81 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 2,278$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.22 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 2,057$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 1,914$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.63 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 1,575$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.56 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 37c | 1,423$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 48c | 1,400$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.48 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 1,245$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.55 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 1,179$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.16 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 38c | 692.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.52 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 24c | 639.34$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +11.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 61c | 501.51$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.23 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 453.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 453.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 59c | 407.63$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 45c | 383.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 292.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 59c | 276$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 60c | 266.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 40c | 265.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 41c | 165.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 18c | 131.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 38c | 127.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 123$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 39c | 106.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 98.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Over | 17c | 96.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 37c | 80.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 23c | 69.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 49c | 60.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 26c | 51.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 34c | 49.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 61c | 49.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 53c | 45.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Under | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 38c | 28.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 60c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7520backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 3.5this page
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 4.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Paide Linnameeskond 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 1.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: SK Rapid Wien O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)SK Rapid Wien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.