Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1f72ece40974bb948dd56743641425c5e2dcaa5f39f2b73a4b7ba488a4900f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 55c | 67,254$36,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,901.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed No | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 33,886$13,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,333.67 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Yes | 54c | 20,890$11,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,257.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 40c | 18,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 11c | 10,501$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.78 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 41c | 9,989$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 9,528$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.29 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 8,092$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.68 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…f064backed Yes | 53c | 7,381$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 7,235$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.49 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 6,772$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.95 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 59c | 5,175$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 22c | 4,525$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 3,895$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.12 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 3,831$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.27 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 3,447$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.6 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 3,359$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.16 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 70c | 3,352$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.06 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 2,864$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.35 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 2,812$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,728$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 2,588$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.77 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 23c | 2,459$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 2,428$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.08 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 2,363$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.73 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 2,301$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.8 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 57c | 2,284$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 39c | 2,125$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.24 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 41c | 2,041$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,030$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 44c | 2,027$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Yes | 57c | 1,971$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 40c | 1,755$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.49 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 68c | 1,647$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 5c | 1,635$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 60c | 1,623$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 43c | 1,603$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 71c | 1,603$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.56 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 33c | 1,403$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.05 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 58c | 1,261$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.38 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 1,242$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.65 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,209$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.24 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 1,123$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.67 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 41c | 954.85$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…05a1backed Yes | 61c | 944.79$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 13c | 927.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Yes | 36c | 853.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 56c | 839.29$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 41c | 815$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 798.63$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.58 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 42c | 723.27$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.11 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 33c | 717.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…fdb5backed No | 66c | 707.05$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 56c | 686.86$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 666.48$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 11c | 664$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 76c | 600$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 41c | 600$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6241backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes | 17c | 587.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 40c | 512.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.69 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 46c | 492.32$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 69c | 469.59$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 464.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 38c | 441.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 440$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 47c | 438.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 40c | 435.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 43c | 432.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 52c | 430.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 414.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.56 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 402.17$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 29c | 382.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 53c | 331.3$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 42c | 327.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 60c | 327.25$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 51c | 325.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 46c | 325.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 321.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 31c | 317.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 68c | 311.17$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 47c | 310$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 309.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.