TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$443,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c47,202$25,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,876.1574935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c20,234$8,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,695.051,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No32c19,165$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,120.262157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes79c13,366$10,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.641844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No48c9,893$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.333839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Yes56c9,218$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.281080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c8,229$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.9296837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No32c7,166$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30861437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c7,032$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.332,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked No47c5,464$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No51c5,249$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.793732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No33c4,593$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No37c4,492$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.762642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes18c4,120$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.758048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes54c4,107$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes32c3,574$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.0738953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed No60c3,553$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.871827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c3,505$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.7940143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes49c3,214$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.453764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes32c3,147$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.852744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No47c3,142$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.695156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No31c3,059$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.532556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes63c2,790$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.592259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+105.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes62c2,697$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.133043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes66c2,613$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.93240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No39c2,228$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.363943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed No58c2,187$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.051040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No66c2,166$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.8219535.9%70 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No35c2,002$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.064845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked No45c1,874$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.431520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8822…cfefbacked No29c1,667$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Yes35c1,666$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes67c1,568$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.252437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No59c1,490$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.6516440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No32c1,471$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.584746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c1,458$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.731,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No41c1,275$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.63548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes65c1,172$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.473571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+46.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes38c1,069$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.0311449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f6…ba20backed No62c1,040$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No36c1,028$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3758741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No35c1,003$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.392462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3706267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes49c1,000$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5148038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No43c979.78$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.282733.3%9 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+108.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No61c961.36$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.142744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes56c939.87$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.872231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes36c877.85$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.492343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No49c860.91$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+128.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No44c811$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No26c804.4$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.638040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked No33c773.63$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.681428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes67c771.43$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes77c741.88$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.556937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No80c737.38$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.486645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No38c729.35$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.949749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Yes57c695.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.811145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No48c688.24$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.296666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No31c687.06$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4539849.2%196 W · 202 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No47c684.01$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5744933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes56c650.53$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dac…6b71backed Yes50c609.06$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No42c607.09$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.396544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+159.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Yes19c550.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes21c528.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No51c523.55$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4110539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes39c520.22$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes40c507.25$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0914238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No50c497.46$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.632360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes43c489.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.534158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No49c471.1$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3818149.2%89 W · 92 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4263…81f8backed Yes59c442.97$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes60c433.68$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.81136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+96.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No48c422.67$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9510743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c420.9$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4761148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa946…7bc4backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No38c412.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes39c390$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes18c390$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.815648.1%75 W · 81 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Yes51c388.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Yes57c382.46$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes26c381$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.942437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+162.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes50c378.17$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0910050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No51c371.04$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6412551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No3c347.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes56c346$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9524340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c338.67$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8717466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes52c337.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.414057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes60c335.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed No56c333$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.483161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No51c331.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1914553.1%77 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.92948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c322.21$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6235860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca8…0236backed Yes48c310.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1476046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.