Champions League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d0d3b7ee0892d55a16bfda1712cc66eef19046040c27fc1f97f794cdc57803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 3,309$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.29 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,561$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.25 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 2,306$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.05 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 59c | 2,020$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.24 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,980$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.52 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 1,881$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.73 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Yes | 59c | 1,371$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 1,075$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.1 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 981.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Yes | 61c | 819.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 43c | 689.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 62c | 510$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 62c | 465.51$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 61c | 458$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 408.77$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 37c | 343$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27d…9587backed Yes | 64c | 334.36$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 64c | 313.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 283$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 56c | 276.63$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 238.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 215.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 6c | 194$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 62c | 190.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Yes | 64c | 156.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 146.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Yes | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 55c | 119.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 38c | 119.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 58c | 111.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 49c | 99.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked No | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 79.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…878bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 37c | 75.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 41c | 75.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 58c | 75.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 45c | 60.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 46c | 53.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 40c | 50.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…378cbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 40c | 42.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 53c | 40.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 31.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 50c | 25.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…884ebacked Yes | 61c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 47c | 24.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: Draw at halftime?No won
- Górnik Zabrze leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.