NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b39a3d7437cfeda0ab690268acced49b7c387f7afd3db905fa332602541879c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa004…5c79backed Kraken | 48c | 10,003$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…c541backed Senators | 52c | 10,003$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…0cc5backed Senators | 52c | 9,999$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…3ab1backed Kraken | 48c | 9,998$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Kraken | 52c | 7,663$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators | 51c | 4,128$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.98 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kraken | 0c | 3,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…fa85backed Senators | 57c | 3,496$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…e690backed Kraken | 47c | 3,423$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 48c | 3,206$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.92 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Senators | 51c | 2,493$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.16 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Kraken | 50c | 2,451$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…fcfabacked Kraken | 47c | 2,149$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Senators | 57c | 1,987$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…2ed3backed Senators | 56c | 1,725$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Senators | 56c | 1,724$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.31 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kraken | 3c | 1,194$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…9b45backed Senators | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…94f2backed Kraken | 48c | 1,130$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,063$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kraken | 50c | 1,007$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Kraken | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 45c | 945.23$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.04 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 50c | 641.9$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kraken | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Senators | 56c | 552.16$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…9072backed Kraken | 57c | 522.35$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…2b37backed Senators | 58c | 522.14$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 46c | 503.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Kraken | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Senators | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Kraken | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…efa0backed Kraken | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Senators | 76c | 398.51$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Kraken | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Kraken | 44c | 319$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senators | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Senators | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Kraken | 45c | 294.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Senators | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Senators | 50c | 232.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…9500backed Kraken | 49c | 212.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…3e2abacked Kraken | 50c | 212.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…5b9cbacked Senators | 53c | 212.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c58…9fa2backed Senators | 53c | 211.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…5b32backed Senators | 54c | 210.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…42b5backed Kraken | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…ba8fbacked Kraken | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8a…0725backed Senators | 54c | 209.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…38ecbacked Kraken | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…9467backed Kraken | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…7957backed Kraken | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…69e7backed Kraken | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…b4afbacked Kraken | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…fb79backed Senators | 53c | 206.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…c3cabacked Senators | 53c | 206.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…4a6fbacked Senators | 53c | 206.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd6…d44abacked Senators | 53c | 206.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…ba74backed Senators | 53c | 206.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…421fbacked Kraken | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…e8d9backed Senators | 53c | 203.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 47c | 200.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Kraken | 44c | 200.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 52c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kraken | 11c | 142.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Senators | 75c | 132.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…8222backed Senators | 54c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Senators | 57c | 109.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…81e5backed Senators | 53c | 104.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…1518backed Kraken | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Senators | 76c | 101.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…3803backed Senators | 53c | 100.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7c…e9dcbacked Kraken | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f4…cf83backed Kraken | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Senators | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Senators | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Senators | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Kraken | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd203…4629backed Senators | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…9cbcbacked Kraken | 45c | 98.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…4881backed Senators | 54c | 97.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…4b96backed Senators | 50c | 89.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Kraken | 42c | 87.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Senators | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Senators | 37c | 84.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Kraken | 49c | 81.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Senators | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2689…0e09backed Senators | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…25ccbacked Kraken | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Senators | 54c | 74.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Senators | 54c | 73.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…d8f0backed Kraken | 45c | 71.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…78cdbacked Kraken | 50c | 68.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.