NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8517b6cf8f567218adc0d311b0286e5265f5d00de2091b9dc6b33faf79766caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 893 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 15c | 30,474$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.02 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 68c | 18,112$12,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…1992backed Magic | 51c | 10,600$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…372bbacked Hawks | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 24c | 9,551$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 51c | 7,162$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.54 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 74c | 6,165$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.57 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Magic | 40c | 5,022$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.38 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Hawks | 50c | 4,003$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 43c | 3,359$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hawks | 14c | 2,643$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.05 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Hawks | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 48c | 2,100$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Hawks | 68c | 2,042$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.91 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Magic | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.82 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Magic | 51c | 1,834$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.56 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 52c | 1,764$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.03 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Hawks | 46c | 1,700$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 28c | 1,694$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Hawks | 39c | 1,645$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.61 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic | 74c | 1,338$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Hawks | 49c | 1,314$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 49c | 1,255$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.04 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 39c | 1,249$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Magic | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Magic | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Hawks | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Hawks | 47c | 1,199$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…34d2backed Hawks | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 54c | 1,143$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Magic | 53c | 1,126$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.01 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 64c | 1,122$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.76 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…cc17backed Hawks | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Hawks | 4c | 1,043$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Hawks | 78c | 1,031$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.37 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 2c | 1,003$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Hawks | 39c | 1,000$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 53c | 1,000$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.42 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Magic | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks | 47c | 999.92$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f2…a388backed Hawks | 48c | 950$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…019abacked Magic | 52c | 950$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…604ebacked Magic | 52c | 942.07$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…4ef8backed Magic | 52c | 897.84$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Magic | 50c | 890.12$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.06 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks | 43c | 837.88$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hawks | 31c | 837.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Hawks | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Magic | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 57c | 796.82$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Hawks | 48c | 748.63$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.01 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks | 36c | 699.69$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Hawks | 73c | 684.09$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hawks | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 51c | 632$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 75c | 629.63$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Hawks | 37c | 612.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…1580backed Hawks | 49c | 601$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Hawks | 48c | 599.95$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks | 33c | 587.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 51c | 582.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.67 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 54c | 515.03$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Hawks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Hawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Magic | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Hawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Magic | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Hawks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…1318backed Magic | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…09b7backed Magic | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…7fa6backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…9ea1backed Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…e97bbacked Magic | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…52cebacked Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…94cbbacked Magic | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d8b3backed Magic | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…aedbbacked Magic | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…2f6dbacked Hawks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…abd6backed Hawks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…e25ebacked Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…89d3backed Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…98b7backed Magic | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…2627backed Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…245cbacked Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…0b88backed Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…f7ebbacked Magic | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.