NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1eb4ca51fb85f666550e7afa4a8fc2e6c5a0500d187417b349050d8e5a5d848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $769,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $852,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 870 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 51c | 50,632$25,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,819.13 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 13c | 45,050$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.6 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 36c | 30,057$10,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.31 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 20c | 30,036$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110.78 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 65c | 22,237$14,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,778.57 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 68c | 13,822$9,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.82 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Warriors | 64c | 12,337$7,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.15 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Magic | 35c | 12,089$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.12 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Magic | 34c | 10,337$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.97 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Magic | 34c | 10,000$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Magic | 34c | 8,770$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.86 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Warriors | 65c | 8,600$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 35c | 6,200$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Magic | 10c | 6,173$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.3 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.94 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 64c | 5,872$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.2 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Warriors | 66c | 5,378$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.54 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 33c | 5,303$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.52 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 75c | 5,265$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.7 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Magic | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Warriors | 66c | 4,966$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Magic | 34c | 4,629$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.09 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 65c | 4,206$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.93 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Magic | 34c | 3,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 78c | 3,324$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.93 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Magic | 34c | 3,310$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.74 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Warriors | 67c | 3,254$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.16 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 34c | 3,211$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.69 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 66c | 3,122$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.37 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Warriors | 66c | 3,015$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.23 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 15c | 2,940$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.25 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Magic | 33c | 2,874$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.41 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 12c | 2,740$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.57 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Magic | 34c | 2,607$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.09 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 45c | 2,600$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 65c | 2,590$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.53 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…61ccbacked Warriors | 65c | 2,460$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…a222backed Magic | 36c | 2,450$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Warriors | 66c | 2,286$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.12 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Magic | 32c | 2,130$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.7 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Warriors | 57c | 2,118$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.25 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Magic | 60c | 2,050$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.13 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 64c | 2,010$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Warriors | 64c | 1,987$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed Warriors | 66c | 1,985$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 30c | 1,985$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.59 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Magic | 36c | 1,980$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 1,901$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Magic | 52c | 1,717$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Warriors | 66c | 1,503$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Magic | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…68edbacked Magic | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Warriors | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 67c | 1,495$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.02 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 75c | 1,464$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…1f4bbacked Magic | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…5291backed Warriors | 67c | 1,418$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 33c | 1,412$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.89 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Warriors | 65c | 1,359$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.68 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Warriors | 66c | 1,294$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.42 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 67c | 1,285$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.05 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Warriors | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Warriors | 64c | 1,206$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.16 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Warriors | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,133$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Warriors | 68c | 1,106$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 40c | 1,103$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.33 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 58c | 1,095$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.17 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Warriors | 65c | 1,030$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.64 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 18c | 1,021$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed Magic | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b5d0backed Warriors | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Magic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 80c | 968.58$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Magic | 31c | 959.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 66c | 939.33$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.37 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…6651backed Warriors | 56c | 892.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 2c | 886.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Magic | 19c | 886.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Warriors | 43c | 866.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 63c | 829.95$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 37c | 820.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.21 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 31c | 799.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Warriors | 25c | 783.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Warriors | 49c | 770.41$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.91 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Magic | 31c | 757.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…d60bbacked Magic | 28c | 750$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…e0e2backed Warriors | 66c | 745.45$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 34c | 704.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 8c | 704.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Warriors | 53c | 702.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.73 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Magic | 40c | 702.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.