MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc44dff9e5c2d5636ab8db80d95308ac93e3824ccae34c0b8c96322570b5405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Guardians, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x417e…626cbacked Guardians | 0c | 29,995$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 40c | 19,344$7,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,756.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 59c | 15,485$9,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 60c | 6,274$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Guardians | 0c | 6,115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Guardians | 46c | 4,356$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Guardians | 1c | 3,011$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Twins | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Twins | 58c | 2,356$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.62 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Guardians | 42c | 1,629$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,600$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Guardians | 25c | 1,394$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 32c | 1,258$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Guardians | 22c | 1,170$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.31 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 55c | 999.73$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Guardians | 22c | 965.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 44c | 934.79$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 61c | 895.3$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…7279backed Guardians | 44c | 690$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…4e27backed Twins | 56c | 690$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guardians | 38c | 630$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 58c | 623.22$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 43c | 587.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Guardians | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 43c | 529.41$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 25c | 511.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…c49fbacked Twins | 56c | 481.33$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 64c | 472.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Guardians | 44c | 455.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Guardians | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Guardians | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Twins | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 52c | 369.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Guardians | 45c | 335.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Guardians | 44c | 307$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…a46cbacked Twins | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Guardians | 34c | 296.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Guardians | 33c | 286.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 41c | 271.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Guardians | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Twins | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Twins | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Twins | 65c | 199.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Twins | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Twins | 70c | 141.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Guardians | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 57c | 136.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Twins | 76c | 131.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Twins | 56c | 122.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…8d83backed Guardians | 45c | 121.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Guardians | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Guardians | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…cbe4backed Guardians | 45c | 109.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…d52ebacked Guardians | 45c | 107.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Guardians | 33c | 106.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Guardians | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Twins | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Twins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Guardians | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…527bbacked Twins | 57c | 95.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 57c | 95.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…3719backed Twins | 57c | 94.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…0d5fbacked Guardians | 45c | 93.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…98b6backed Twins | 57c | 91.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…f59abacked Twins | 57c | 90.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…b953backed Twins | 57c | 85.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4f…1aacbacked Guardians | 45c | 85.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…a1a1backed Guardians | 45c | 83.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…8068backed Guardians | 45c | 83.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…c71ebacked Twins | 57c | 80.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…412dbacked Guardians | 45c | 80.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Guardians | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…1e55backed Twins | 57c | 79.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Twins | 57c | 71.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…ec2ebacked Guardians | 34c | 69.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…1853backed Twins | 73c | 61.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Guardians | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Guardians | 40c | 60.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Twins | 69c | 58.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 43c | 57.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Guardians | 29c | 54.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 58c | 51.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Twins | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Guardians | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Twins | 58c | 47.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Guardians | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.