MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x691befe09074869bb8b9b315c94827a40dfce4a4a889fd22e4600d2d66419fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Braves, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Red Sox | 53c | 20,527$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,647.47 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 47c | 15,167$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.29 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Red Sox | 67c | 7,175$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.24 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 38c | 2,397$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves | 77c | 2,306$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.5 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Red Sox | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Braves | 72c | 1,773$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.98 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 50c | 1,592$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 47c | 1,278$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 46c | 1,243$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 46c | 975.99$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Red Sox | 52c | 905$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.4 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 48c | 852.34$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 49c | 822.67$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.78 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Braves | 48c | 626.71$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 40c | 470.73$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Braves | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked Braves | 77c | 435$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 47c | 426.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 28c | 421.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 28c | 404.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.51 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Red Sox | 52c | 383.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Braves | 49c | 308.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Braves | 49c | 303.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Sox | 51c | 283.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Red Sox | 63c | 258.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Red Sox | 5c | 255$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 72c | 251.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 47c | 248.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 51c | 219.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Sox | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Braves | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Red Sox | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed Braves | 80c | 150.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 56c | 135.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Red Sox | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves | 47c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Braves | 34c | 118.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Red Sox | 54c | 115.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 27c | 108.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 51c | 95.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 47c | 84.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Braves | 71c | 83.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 47c | 78.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Red Sox | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Red Sox | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Braves | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Red Sox | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 52c | 42.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Red Sox | 53c | 42.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Braves | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Red Sox | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Braves | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Braves | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Braves | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…2d66backed Braves | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…06edbacked Braves | 72c | 21.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Braves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Braves | 77c | 15.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.