Token Launches · resolved market
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c2569620d75461154982a53bc77d9f77cb9ab6094a4f71b01eb25fef15540e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 71c | 4,954$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,632$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…115cbacked No | 42c | 4,550$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…64d5backed No | 42c | 4,550$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…dd7dbacked Yes | 58c | 4,550$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…00afbacked No | 42c | 4,550$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8501…53febacked Yes | 58c | 4,550$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…5e8fbacked Yes | 58c | 4,550$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…6239backed Yes | 58c | 4,550$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc27…dadbbacked No | 42c | 4,550$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed No | 33c | 2,836$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,815$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 57c | 2,471$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.3 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…03cbbacked No | 44c | 2,229$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 15c | 2,094$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked No | 37c | 2,043$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1a57backed No | 68c | 1,681$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 23c | 1,300$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…8eddbacked Yes | 49c | 1,269$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…51bcbacked Yes | 73c | 1,241$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…5961backed No | 63c | 1,240$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…d2a3backed Yes | 47c | 1,137$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,060$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…25f8backed No | 45c | 1,010$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 56c | 894.56$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed No | 22c | 765.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 63c | 708.8$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 48c | 632.73$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked No | 66c | 572.3$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…04d4backed No | 64c | 514.79$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 28c | 514.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed No | 49c | 487.92$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 64c | 455.4$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa611…e1a1backed Yes | 71c | 450.01$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 57c | 448.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.16 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked No | 48c | 446.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…e136backed No | 31c | 414.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 6c | 412.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 68c | 404$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 75c | 400.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked No | 28c | 389.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 348.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked No | 51c | 337.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 12c | 325.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 21c | 324.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…cefebacked No | 47c | 317.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 70c | 308.29$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cd72backed Yes | 66c | 304.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…8728backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…4edbbacked Yes | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 52c | 291.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 58c | 288.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…16bebacked No | 52c | 286.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…9e28backed Yes | 75c | 278.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 46c | 262.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…ce31backed No | 42c | 248.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +2,640.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…5129backed Yes | 65c | 243.73$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…f8eabacked No | 30c | 242.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…8750backed Yes | 43c | 230.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed No | 34c | 220.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90d…23f4backed Yes | 72c | 206.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…6143backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…283bbacked Yes | 7c | 197.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 44c | 191.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed No | 17c | 185.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 45c | 181.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9b85backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…49edbacked No | 30c | 167.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…301dbacked Yes | 71c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7073…5e3abacked No | 67c | 148.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 44c | 148.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 69c | 145.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked No | 58c | 144.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…e184backed Yes | 48c | 142.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 50c | 140.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…81afbacked Yes | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…54f4backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…bbd0backed No | 28c | 133.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Yes | 41c | 132.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…4103backed Yes | 76c | 131.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…48b9backed No | 25c | 124.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…834bbacked Yes | 31c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 32c | 112.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 68c | 111.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…b0abbacked Yes | 61c | 107.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Yes | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 103.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7276backed No | 72c | 103.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…972ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…a4b4backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…bcb4backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…a223backed No | 26c | 99.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +213.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 32c | 99.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3190backed Yes | 64c | 96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…b81bbacked No | 38c | 95.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…050fbacked Yes | 41c | 95.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…abf2backed Yes | 31c | 95.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…4e38backed Yes | 29c | 95.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.