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MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Rangers, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd8a2…3b96backed Rangers45c18,358$8,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3385461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees39c13,081$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,994.2686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers39c9,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51020850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees61c8,996$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.6779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers34c8,668$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.341,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees72c6,961$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.7414052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rangers49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94033554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers48c3,984$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.192,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yankees52c3,500$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68513353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yankees57c2,648$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.3421356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees52c2,215$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.171,35950.8%690 W · 669 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers37c2,016$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.71,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yankees51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9921748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Rangers78c1,931$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.6114966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Yankees51c1,503$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.472339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Rangers49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees68c1,497$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yankees28c1,369$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.7920523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees49c1,320$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.649,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yankees31c1,244$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.711,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Rangers44c1,192$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.43450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rangers48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50414048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Rangers49c1,027$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers49c1,023$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Yankees55c1,003$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.316645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Rangers37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f94…e165backed Yankees52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Yankees51c879.49$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.4315949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees52c770$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers45c731.47$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.061,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Rangers72c720.76$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers36c697.95$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.624,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Rangers57c692.76$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.873243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rangers41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yankees51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29420450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Rangers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers34c480.45$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9925416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yankees53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3628453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Yankees53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3620448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Rangers71c377.23$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26717866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Rangers33c350$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.514539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Rangers31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees35c310.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.751,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers48c308.87$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yankees52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14440152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Rangers21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636524.6%16 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Rangers32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4620150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Yankees51c273.14$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8414444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9805…b172backed Yankees44c227.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321,44850%724 W · 724 L+26.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00f…d691backed Yankees63c201.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Yankees71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Yankees51c194$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.067549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Rangers45c188.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.618530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers42c186.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa4b8…f54cbacked Rangers68c177.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yankees53c177.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3613254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yankees65c166.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.352626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Rangers74c149.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.714864.2%95 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec28…5413backed Rangers48c135.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers44c134.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Yankees31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.038347%39 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Rangers49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Yankees70c122.28$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.684856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Rangers34c122.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.037035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yankees51c120.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0838741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120c…89d4backed Yankees53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a0…2569backed Rangers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ef5…6014backed Rangers30c101$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Yankees52c100.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6213848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers39c100.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc360…0c46backed Rangers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…36a2backed Yankees52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Rangers49c96.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1923753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed Yankees78c96.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.152060%12 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Yankees53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3412549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Yankees53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a7…e1f9backed Rangers46c89.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe266…add3backed Yankees55c88.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8f…7178backed Yankees58c88.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.972254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Yankees58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rangers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Rangers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Rangers58c82.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8511036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Rangers44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.217732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Rangers29c79.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.157054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees66c76.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.042,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yankees53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4720645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers47c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bea…80a0backed Yankees53c64.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc421…92b4backed Rangers48c63.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Rangers32c59.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers47c56.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7841649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.