NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0c8c988400443f370d148f6d88df1fd9b5adb9974876aa3fdd8a7a3936df91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $553,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Magic | 4c | 49,332$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,286.97 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 34c | 26,096$8,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,327.51 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 29c | 18,401$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,983.52 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Magic | 22c | 18,320$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,235.46 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 46c | 15,512$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,445.69 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Magic | 21c | 15,069$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,887.96 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Magic | 32c | 11,077$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Lakers | 67c | 9,991$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,728.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Lakers | 80c | 9,901$7,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Magic | 9c | 9,846$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,961.55 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Magic | 18c | 7,970$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Lakers | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 58c | 7,189$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.25 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers | 69c | 7,068$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.25 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Magic | 34c | 5,801$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Magic | 39c | 5,728$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.97 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Magic | 33c | 5,210$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.58 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Lakers | 66c | 5,112$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 22c | 4,343$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.72 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 23c | 4,088$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.49 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 29c | 4,037$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.09 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Magic | 17c | 3,047$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Lakers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 22c | 2,993$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.8 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…2bcebacked Lakers | 69c | 2,916$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Lakers | 57c | 2,750$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Magic | 36c | 2,691$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 30c | 2,602$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.09 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Magic | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Lakers | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Magic | 25c | 2,486$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Magic | 12c | 2,416$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.76 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Magic | 14c | 2,399$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.19 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Magic | 31c | 2,261$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.33 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Magic | 23c | 2,090$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.61 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…90a3backed Lakers | 79c | 2,082$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 33c | 2,004$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Lakers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 33c | 1,912$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.91 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lakers | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lakers | 68c | 1,762$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.25 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…4cc5backed Lakers | 66c | 1,762$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Magic | 34c | 1,762$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Lakers | 68c | 1,754$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.17 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Lakers | 66c | 1,572$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 72c | 1,524$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.01 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…7d62backed Lakers | 66c | 1,498$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 68c | 1,463$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.65 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Lakers | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Magic | 19c | 1,281$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.49 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Lakers | 70c | 1,270$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.3 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Magic | 31c | 1,245$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.19 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Lakers | 67c | 1,178$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.48 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Lakers | 69c | 1,074$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.19 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Lakers | 70c | 1,067$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.42 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Lakers | 68c | 1,059$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Magic | 35c | 1,050$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Lakers | 64c | 1,034$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…d8b1backed Lakers | 3c | 1,028$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lakers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.85 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Lakers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Magic | 30c | 894.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.66 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Magic | 32c | 885.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Magic | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 33c | 814.3$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Magic | 38c | 790.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.51 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 7c | 775.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.94 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…8713backed Lakers | 79c | 727.47$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…0c36backed Lakers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…dd7dbacked Magic | 33c | 722.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Lakers | 68c | 720.18$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 33c | 717.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.87 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Magic | 5c | 710$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…d4f8backed Magic | 34c | 695.06$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Magic | 22c | 678.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Magic | 19c | 657.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.89 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Magic | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Lakers | 67c | 570.35$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Lakers | 57c | 550$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…9fc0backed Lakers | 68c | 515.12$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…c1e8backed Magic | 21c | 508.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Lakers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Magic | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Magic | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Lakers | 61c | 490.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Magic | 21c | 482.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.14 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Magic | 13c | 474.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.27 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Lakers | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 32c | 423.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…b6f8backed Magic | 21c | 413.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Magic | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.26 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Magic | 31c | 403.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 64c | 388.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.89 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Magic | 39c | 372.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Lakers | 67c | 368.28$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…1919backed Magic | 34c | 365.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.