World Politics · resolved market
220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2059c03fadd17ab6fe1634a19724bacb51897aa8dd898439dc2f92629ba2d7ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 3c | 28,100$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.66 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 22,901$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.76 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 6c | 8,982$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 6c | 7,611$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,718$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,714$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…2be1backed Yes | 2c | 3,600$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,474$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1206backed Yes | 2c | 3,200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…b548backed Yes | 1c | 2,925$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 5c | 2,715$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 2,310$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 6c | 2,150$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 3c | 2,050$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 1c | 2,006$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…89b9backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed Yes | 6c | 1,595$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,506$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…95f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 4c | 1,150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…bf32backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…3618backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…96b1backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…3156backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Yes | 6c | 644$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…9c1abacked Yes | 9c | 513.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 12c | 390.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…8dacbacked Yes | 7c | 356.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes | 13c | 93.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Yes | 11c | 90.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?this page
- 180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 200-219 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 240+ MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- <180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.