World Politics · resolved market
240+ MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08e3f9ca611195a3efbe47ddfbb3d61611303e1025721cc339956ee8120de72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 29,193$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.55 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 2c | 12,729$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 3c | 11,653$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,595$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…b548backed Yes | 1c | 10,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 2c | 9,287$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed Yes | 2c | 8,153$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 5c | 8,121$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.57 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…95f8backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 6c | 5,328$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…5795backed Yes | 0c | 5,194$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,705$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 3c | 3,600$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 7c | 2,715$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…0967backed Yes | 4c | 2,423$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a8e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,927$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 1,624$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x779b…db29backed Yes | 3c | 1,380$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 2c | 1,263$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…bf32backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…4a09backed Yes | 2c | 934.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 2c | 670.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…dc25backed Yes | 5c | 663.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Yes | 2c | 542.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…ec19backed Yes | 5c | 537.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 5c | 510.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…9c1abacked Yes | 3c | 490.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 2c | 402.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…269cbacked Yes | 10c | 349.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 4c | 315.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…f959backed Yes | 6c | 231.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…2cb1backed Yes | 11c | 111.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c7…801bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes | 15c | 83.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 240+ MPs vote to impeach Yoon?this page
- 180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 200-219 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- <180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.