World Politics · resolved market
200-219 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0034bcc400bbb15c24de22beb4483155b578565ac4f82309fe2ef4ad33ade4ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked Yes | 0c | 69,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 8c | 29,187$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…254bbacked Yes | 2c | 23,395$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 18,120$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.59 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d3…18cdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 9c | 11,528$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.16 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 9,317$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.53 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…6d00backed Yes | 12c | 8,218$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…b548backed Yes | 1c | 7,919$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,118$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…de5fbacked Yes | 20c | 4,411$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 11c | 4,050$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.75 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…0967backed Yes | 10c | 3,902$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…4b36backed Yes | 0c | 3,835$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 15c | 3,353$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 9c | 3,090$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 9c | 3,067$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.85 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,752$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 11c | 2,715$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 8c | 2,698$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 2,679$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,537$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed Yes | 10c | 2,308$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1206backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 7c | 2,010$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,920$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 6c | 1,888$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…5795backed Yes | 6c | 1,850$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…8f07backed Yes | 4c | 1,647$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 25c | 1,100$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…3618backed Yes | 9c | 1,061$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2238backed Yes | 10c | 1,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…9534backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…bf32backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 8c | 943.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…919ebacked Yes | 11c | 881.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…95f8backed Yes | 10c | 880$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 8c | 793.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…693bbacked Yes | 10c | 760.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 4c | 672.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 9c | 615$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…13b2backed Yes | 6c | 562.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 6c | 560$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Yes | 18c | 557$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…b5d3backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…89b9backed Yes | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 8c | 481.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 21c | 444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…92cfbacked Yes | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…c49cbacked Yes | 29c | 337.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…4795backed Yes | 26c | 308.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 14c | 300.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked Yes | 13c | 280$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…96b1backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…9c1abacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…663bbacked Yes | 6c | 246.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…0e01backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…4a09backed Yes | 10c | 197.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Yes | 16c | 186.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…8110backed Yes | 21c | 180.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…331dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 11c | 152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…a14abacked Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 136.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…6ab2backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…bb30backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…6088backed Yes | 41c | 122.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…57b0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +85%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 42c | 94.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…c427backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 33c | 85.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…1767backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…a4b7backed Yes | 20c | 70.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…e51ebacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 200-219 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?this page
- 180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 240+ MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- <180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.