TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$469,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd39…6d00backed Yes2c63,354$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…254bbacked Yes15c19,336$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.1825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-64.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Yes13c18,635$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.873132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes72c12,303$8,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,810.222250%11 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f52…5ef2backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d3…18cdbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes76c8,346$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,356.491464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No21c5,767$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.8720614.6%30 W · 176 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7631…b548backed Yes1c5,454$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.35933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb914…9f51backed Yes19c5,285$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.56850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+953.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e56…35d5backed Yes21c3,931$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.413511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-79.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes3c3,674$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.47780%0 W · 78 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5512…5941backed No36c3,578$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes67c3,533$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c0…7bd8backed No21c3,074$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+116.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes28c2,944$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.7513525.2%34 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes23c2,863$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5116612.7%21 W · 145 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x963d…7dd8backed Yes52c2,599$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43d…5e9fbacked Yes68c2,399$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid+43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes70c2,174$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.111717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No45c2,081$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.652147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…8e58backed No47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+143.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadd…877fbacked Yes70c1,895$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…0440backed Yes56c1,862$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231c…e013backed Yes65c1,731$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…b0f3backed Yes61c1,726$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.291442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No28c1,712$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.9415237.5%57 W · 95 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked No40c1,590$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No15c1,570$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.276238.7%24 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+102.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8787…4795backed Yes75c1,568$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes70c1,545$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Yes24c1,341$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes22c1,276$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.683318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-75.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…bc8fbacked Yes57c1,122$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.91442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes18c1,099$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8590%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dba…7a15backed Yes11c1,041$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.792846.4%13 W · 15 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785a…35ddbacked Yes47c977.84$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…79bdbacked No32c920.9$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.212729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd621…bc07backed Yes23c867.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cb…6db6backed Yes80c848.19$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes27c829.45$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.475414.8%8 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes44c815$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.753132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cd…7d09backed Yes75c805.59$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes23c717.32$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.41,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9454…bf32backed Yes4c699.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b36…3d6bbacked No51c634$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…693bbacked Yes69c614.49$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+220.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes53c590.76$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3133345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2238backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed Yes23c555$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes79c530.77$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.7550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94b5…25eebacked Yes11c500.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffab…b5d3backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes41c489$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656d…de5fbacked Yes76c480.61$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes72c462.47$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab4…13b2backed Yes77c459.76$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.91618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…6765backed Yes73c455.97$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes67c455.55$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes24c450.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.45648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e6…96b1backed Yes68c444.93$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes18c444.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…0967backed Yes18c439$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4292…ec19backed No27c400$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No61c382.16$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.321,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…d05abacked Yes73c361.38$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed No74c349.29$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.336536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb49e…118fbacked Yes74c341.04$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddfa…f9dfbacked Yes69c340.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes14c300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412425%6 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+140.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1e…99e7backed Yes32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No37c286.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0610131.7%32 W · 69 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Yes24c285.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc767…ef0fbacked Yes61c283.52$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+178.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa607…3181backed Yes37c279.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes32c275.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.094030%12 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No27c271.73$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.363625%9 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Yes78c270.89$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed58…331dbacked No37c268.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.55540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb805…9e99backed Yes47c260.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+47.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe316…c49fbacked Yes80c251.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c47…174bbacked Yes72c245$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x766e…c49cbacked Yes73c230.54$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes17c222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.631020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b9…89b9backed No65c211.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes21c206.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5813118.3%24 W · 107 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…92cfbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d4…f46abacked No44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Yes31c192$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8932…2fe9backed Yes72c190$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6826…398cbacked Yes74c180$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+89.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fa…c14dbacked Yes56c177.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410014%14 W · 86 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked No31c152.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.547125.4%18 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed No49c145.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.241414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed No65c143.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1817044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ce…2be1backed No63c120.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.