World Politics · resolved market
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4502bfced0566b1366dd23dc250dca62b40660ca7f01a46310e68ee6e52ea6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,606,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,184,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,606,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 0c | 365,763$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.76 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…09cdbacked No | 0c | 356,856$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…7098backed No | 0c | 128,817$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…8e7fbacked No | 1c | 98,723$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…6d00backed No | 0c | 92,343$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 0c | 82,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…254bbacked No | 1c | 73,401$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 72c | 71,864$51,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,001.06 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 49c | 58,799$29,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,068.57 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69c…800cbacked No | 1c | 50,001$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…7aaabacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 0c | 45,901$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 1c | 41,019$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed No | 1c | 36,293$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 54c | 29,354$15,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,767.44 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…21cdbacked No | 1c | 28,748$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…464fbacked No | 0c | 27,301$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…f141backed No | 1c | 27,200$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…a3f9backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…dc25backed No | 1c | 19,777$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 51c | 18,657$9,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,145.73 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 35c | 18,121$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345.5 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0f29backed No | 1c | 18,026$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…19bcbacked Yes | 48c | 16,816$8,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…d5b8backed No | 0c | 14,820$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 1c | 14,587$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 77c | 13,726$10,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,508.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2161…0d7cbacked No | 1c | 11,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…0440backed No | 0c | 10,475$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…605fbacked No | 0c | 10,310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 0c | 10,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…09fdbacked No | 1c | 9,324$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 35c | 9,286$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 9,228$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 0c | 8,631$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…001ebacked No | 1c | 8,332$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 67c | 8,103$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.35 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…1d5fbacked No | 1c | 8,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…6b1fbacked No | 1c | 7,609$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed No | 1c | 7,378$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef3…cba8backed No | 0c | 7,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…842bbacked No | 0c | 6,967$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 48c | 6,065$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.79 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…44e9backed Yes | 5c | 5,989$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,690.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,910.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,854$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed Yes | 73c | 5,224$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed No | 6c | 5,053$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked No | 1c | 4,143$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…e9bbbacked No | 1c | 4,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…8e58backed Yes | 10c | 4,006$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 13c | 3,865$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.28 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 63c | 3,802$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…6db6backed Yes | 62c | 3,513$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 55c | 3,381$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cc57backed No | 0c | 3,365$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked Yes | 79c | 3,109$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Yes | 69c | 2,913$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 11c | 2,913$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked No | 1c | 2,887$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed No | 2c | 2,678$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed No | 1c | 2,678$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed No | 3c | 2,611$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…78e4backed Yes | 5c | 2,535$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,771.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…726bbacked No | 1c | 2,410$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 72c | 2,350$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…5e9fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,322$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…4e40backed No | 1c | 2,278$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…ec19backed No | 50c | 2,011$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 1c | 2,005$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed No | 1c | 1,983$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c5f5backed No | 7c | 1,980$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 20c | 1,910$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked No | 68c | 1,898$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…ade0backed Yes | 48c | 1,883$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 59c | 1,771$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 13c | 1,680$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 49c | 1,654$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 48c | 1,530$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,402$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…ff74backed No | 1c | 1,312$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…0967backed No | 41c | 1,246$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…7dd8backed Yes | 44c | 1,207$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 80c | 1,178$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 52c | 1,138$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 29c | 1,125$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.36 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed No | 47c | 1,102$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2238backed Yes | 63c | 1,036$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…bf32backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…693bbacked Yes | 10c | 962.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 41c | 939.98$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.31 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785a…35ddbacked Yes | 65c | 920.42$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…e157backed No | 50c | 915.21$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 30c | 906.94$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.85 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…f041backed Yes | 26c | 890.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…95f8backed No | 17c | 850$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Yes | 60c | 845$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed No | 38c | 735.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked Yes | 45c | 725.88$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- <180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?this page
- 180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 200-219 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
- 240+ MPs vote to impeach Yoon?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.