TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ec5…6765

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2524%6 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$27.06
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$99.88
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.61
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$54.48
LoL: JDG vs ALbacked JDG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.4
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$36.2
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
League of Legends: T1 vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$37.82
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$62.26
LoL: HLE vs T1backed HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$87.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Covington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$26.63
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+42.9%+$96.9
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.36
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+55.7%+$194.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$332.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.