Lol · resolved market
LoL: JDG vs AL
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d7418febfffa4df8e1c31079d0e2ca6eccbda23155b39e915b492b37eb42ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALof JDG, AL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed AL | 78c | 56,069$43,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,476.55 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed JDG | 3c | 29,896$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.91 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed JDG | 23c | 22,899$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed AL | 77c | 22,680$17,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed JDG | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed JDG | 19c | 15,749$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.9 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked JDG | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed JDG | 5c | 8,638$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.92 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed JDG | 6c | 6,903$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.45 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed JDG | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked JDG | 26c | 3,996$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.47 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed JDG | 16c | 3,491$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.22 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed JDG | 25c | 3,200$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.5 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed AL | 78c | 3,014$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.8 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed JDG | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JDG | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed JDG | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked JDG | 22c | 2,950$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed AL | 77c | 2,922$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.08 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…610ebacked JDG | 11c | 2,753$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed AL | 75c | 2,411$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed JDG | 25c | 2,352$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…d20fbacked JDG | 17c | 2,328$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.66 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed JDG | 23c | 2,262$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.18 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed JDG | 6c | 2,092$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed JDG | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked JDG | 13c | 1,533$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed JDG | 6c | 1,519$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked JDG | 21c | 1,425$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked AL | 77c | 1,290$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.79 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed JDG | 16c | 1,244$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…d561backed JDG | 16c | 1,217$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed JDG | 12c | 1,050$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed JDG | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked AL | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed AL | 73c | 970.65$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked AL | 75c | 929.25$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…0243backed JDG | 6c | 902.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed JDG | 6c | 835$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…51ddbacked JDG | 7c | 769.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed JDG | 12c | 700$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed AL | 77c | 690.59$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked JDG | 15c | 659.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed JDG | 12c | 653.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed AL | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed JDG | 19c | 645$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed JDG | 20c | 635$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked JDG | 22c | 617.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed JDG | 25c | 550$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…492ebacked JDG | 20c | 531$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed JDG | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed JDG | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked JDG | 20c | 484.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e671backed JDG | 7c | 480$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed JDG | 18c | 434.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed JDG | 23c | 429.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed AL | 78c | 423.12$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked AL | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed JDG | 15c | 400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked JDG | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked JDG | 17c | 380.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked JDG | 7c | 372.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed JDG | 25c | 334.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JDG | 23c | 311$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…4d77backed JDG | 26c | 305.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed AL | 78c | 297.44$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JDG | 16c | 279.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked JDG | 16c | 278.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked AL | 79c | 277.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed AL | 75c | 277.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked AL | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed AL | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed JDG | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked JDG | 20c | 235$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked JDG | 11c | 225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed JDG | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked JDG | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed JDG | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed JDG | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed JDG | 26c | 170$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…ca26backed JDG | 15c | 163.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed JDG | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6765backed JDG | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed JDG | 23c | 146.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked AL | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked JDG | 23c | 122.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…35e4backed JDG | 17c | 114.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…487cbacked JDG | 12c | 102.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked JDG | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked JDG | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed JDG | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed JDG | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked JDG | 21c | 80.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed JDG | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…b676backed JDG | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed JDG | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed JDG | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed AL | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed JDG | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21a…ad2bbacked AL | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.