Token Launches · resolved market
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf91a5368a23104f8434558aeceacf9bcfaa8606a308a0685e919c98c874fcb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 7c | 14,437$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.61 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 75c | 11,141$8,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.2 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…9073backed Yes | 26c | 10,847$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 57c | 9,881$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 23c | 8,560$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…65debacked Yes | 43c | 8,383$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed No | 68c | 7,401$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…696cbacked Yes | 58c | 6,945$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…803bbacked Yes | 39c | 6,786$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 58c | 6,390$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1d…e2b7backed Yes | 80c | 6,282$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0573backed Yes | 36c | 5,524$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…730bbacked No | 66c | 4,857$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 53c | 4,563$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.05 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 66c | 4,531$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f7…fe6ebacked Yes | 35c | 4,333$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 26c | 4,030$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 71c | 3,991$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed No | 71c | 3,905$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 8c | 3,759$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…4fdcbacked Yes | 33c | 3,498$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 27c | 3,478$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…1c37backed Yes | 30c | 3,309$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed No | 74c | 3,067$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.64 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 3,017$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.41 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 6c | 2,756$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed Yes | 24c | 2,091$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa653…b36ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,026$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…89bfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 1,994$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.37 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…3a83backed No | 73c | 1,626$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…2d9ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,549$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…be64backed No | 73c | 1,544$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…776bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…a2a8backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…cf8abacked No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,420$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed No | 61c | 1,225$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…91d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,222$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 6c | 1,219$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…3ddabacked Yes | 31c | 1,198$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…846dbacked No | 58c | 1,063$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc42…ff9dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,029$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ad…8be9backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…99dabacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…a8d3backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…c0e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked No | 74c | 991.91$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed Yes | 15c | 966.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…9654backed Yes | 2c | 944.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 23c | 910.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 16c | 803.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 78c | 793.47$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f3abbacked Yes | 9c | 714.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…8189backed Yes | 5c | 703.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67b…3ec6backed No | 76c | 660.32$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 15c | 652.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…5403backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…9debbacked Yes | 2c | 599.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…50ffbacked Yes | 3c | 571.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 548.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…bf6abacked Yes | 58c | 521.49$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…2ce3backed Yes | 15c | 516.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 77c | 508.12$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 62c | 503.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…72c8backed No | 71c | 503.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 19c | 474$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x199d…589abacked Yes | 43c | 467.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…3951backed Yes | 17c | 459.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c5…2230backed No | 66c | 456.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…ea68backed Yes | 27c | 447.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…221fbacked Yes | 27c | 424.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…4677backed No | 51c | 415.97$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bac…c726backed Yes | 4c | 414.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…28bbbacked Yes | 12c | 402.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed No | 61c | 394.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 78c | 385.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e79…cd76backed Yes | 4c | 377.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…0cb6backed No | 64c | 355$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…0711backed No | 26c | 353.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcd9backed Yes | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…34d2backed No | 60c | 330.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 57c | 322.93$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8d63backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…2842backed No | 60c | 280.25$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 22c | 275.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…57b9backed Yes | 6c | 270$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 34c | 260.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed No | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 8c | 253.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed No | 55c | 250.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…3b32backed Yes | 6c | 249.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 38c | 235.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…6844backed Yes | 25c | 233.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +552.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.