MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd9c1bde4e461d2e2e5a931ad293eb35982174b785da497a10e7003a7b2e36f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Astros, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rays | 51c | 15,215$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,479.09 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Astros | 67c | 6,081$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 49c | 5,767$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 16c | 5,749$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 44c | 5,732$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.89 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 65c | 5,504$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 49c | 2,611$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 56c | 2,352$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rays | 53c | 2,307$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.17 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 33c | 1,868$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.74 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 50c | 999.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.56 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 47c | 906$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 59c | 864.6$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rays | 41c | 857.14$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.14 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 47c | 795.28$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Astros | 38c | 783.15$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.02 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 42c | 780.34$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 51c | 776.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.87 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 44c | 699.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 49c | 699.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rays | 56c | 674.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Astros | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Astros | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Rays | 73c | 546.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rays | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Astros | 44c | 449.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Astros | 36c | 399.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 44c | 359.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 49c | 355.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 16c | 346.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.68 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Rays | 38c | 334.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Astros | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 43c | 286.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 43c | 284.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Astros | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Astros | 46c | 254.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astros | 71c | 250$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Rays | 56c | 214.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 57c | 203.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Rays | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Astros | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Astros | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…8a4fbacked Astros | 44c | 130.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 37c | 122.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Astros | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Rays | 72c | 119.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…2e84backed Rays | 57c | 119.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Astros | 44c | 109.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Astros | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rays | 76c | 107.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 50c | 106.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Astros | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Astros | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Rays | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…110cbacked Astros | 70c | 99.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rays | 77c | 85.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…3558backed Astros | 46c | 81.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Astros | 79c | 81.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Astros | 46c | 74.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…aaf6backed Rays | 55c | 71.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…3ae3backed Astros | 46c | 63.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Astros | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rays | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Astros | 67c | 62.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…ae0dbacked Astros | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…736cbacked Rays | 55c | 58.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b7b8backed Astros | 46c | 54.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…7e85backed Rays | 57c | 54.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Rays | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…4293backed Rays | 55c | 49.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Astros | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…3697backed Rays | 55c | 48.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…48c4backed Astros | 44c | 45.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…2d67backed Rays | 57c | 45.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…e09cbacked Astros | 44c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Rays | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astros | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a5…8a2dbacked Astros | 78c | 30.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 48c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Astros | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Astros | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Astros | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Astros | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Astros | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 64c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.