MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccedb1b5b5eaa489362d89a9745de4bfe40fbb8ead3144f557592c47f11702ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $697,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Phillies | 60c | 400,000$240,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,656.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Rockies | 50c | 128,352$64,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,347.66 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockies | 31c | 76,875$23,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,831.39 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 45c | 50,854$22,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,956.08 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 30c | 32,480$9,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.78 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Rockies | 31c | 29,810$9,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,241 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Rockies | 31c | 27,097$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 68c | 26,334$17,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,357.91 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 40c | 26,050$10,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,331.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies | 31c | 24,753$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,673.53 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Rockies | 63c | 14,670$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,240.11 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…0dcebacked Rockies | 31c | 13,333$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Phillies | 72c | 13,088$9,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.93 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd8…1ca9backed Phillies | 71c | 9,995$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…5c3dbacked Rockies | 29c | 9,995$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies | 31c | 9,290$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 30c | 8,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies | 31c | 7,684$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.04 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 29c | 7,470$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockies | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 30c | 6,834$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.45 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rockies | 8c | 5,268$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 30c | 4,120$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockies | 20c | 4,000$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.37 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Phillies | 59c | 3,793$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 41c | 3,077$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 32c | 2,953$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 47c | 2,770$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.18 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Phillies | 47c | 2,562$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.7 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 70c | 2,303$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.93 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies | 4c | 2,172$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…bea2backed Rockies | 29c | 2,100$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Phillies | 35c | 2,089$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.26 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…f47abacked Rockies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…c525backed Rockies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…bdf0backed Rockies | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…a733backed Rockies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…3d17backed Phillies | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…c66abacked Rockies | 29c | 1,914$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…29babacked Rockies | 28c | 1,857$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 34c | 1,748$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.49 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Rockies | 15c | 1,626$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 64c | 1,547$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.23 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Rockies | 50c | 1,500$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Phillies | 39c | 1,442$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.98 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Phillies | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies | 54c | 1,100$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.49 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…f43abacked Phillies | 71c | 1,086$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Phillies | 71c | 1,039$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f937backed Phillies | 71c | 1,028$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…d066backed Phillies | 71c | 1,028$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…a5dabacked Phillies | 71c | 1,014$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7193backed Phillies | 71c | 1,014$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Phillies | 71c | 986$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…88fdbacked Phillies | 71c | 986$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…f09dbacked Phillies | 71c | 972$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b635backed Phillies | 71c | 972$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Phillies | 72c | 940$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 52c | 932.7$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…5e48backed Phillies | 71c | 928$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…9d2fbacked Phillies | 72c | 917$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Phillies | 68c | 900$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Phillies | 47c | 857.18$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.99 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Rockies | 60c | 833.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 52c | 810.17$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.19 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 48c | 754.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.35 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 33c | 723.38$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Phillies | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 57c | 654.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Phillies | 67c | 615.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 69c | 569.96$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Rockies | 33c | 530.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Phillies | 69c | 524.93$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 29c | 506.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Rockies | 15c | 496.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 54c | 494.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Phillies | 51c | 494.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Phillies | 69c | 492$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 28c | 466.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 70c | 459.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Phillies | 44c | 456.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Phillies | 36c | 455.17$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 4c | 455$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Phillies | 57c | 424.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rockies | 28c | 403.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockies | 5c | 399.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Phillies | 69c | 397.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Phillies | 70c | 360.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Phillies | 60c | 335$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Phillies | 72c | 329.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Rockies | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Phillies | 38c | 315$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Rockies | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.