World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac410efb3f814c425e889eb52aab64f1d8b792fcf3348646b75f45c7800c014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,024,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,544,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,024,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 65c | 148,809$96,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,787.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 37c | 122,934$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,934.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 27c | 115,309$30,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,479.76 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa0…e67bbacked Yes | 72c | 109,493$78,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,679.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 47c | 107,821$50,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,849.23 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 78c | 102,678$80,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,090.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…c185backed No | 12c | 96,943$11,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,695.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 58c | 73,548$42,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,720.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 56c | 58,564$32,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,671.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 3c | 52,850$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,221.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 73c | 49,737$36,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,636.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 17c | 43,918$7,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,526.56 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 56c | 39,652$22,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,391.19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2a63backed No | 13c | 29,022$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 35c | 28,786$9,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,815.76 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 13c | 27,375$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,749.34 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 18c | 24,950$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,547.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 24,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 71c | 23,267$16,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9be9backed No | 35c | 22,222$7,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,866.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 31c | 21,271$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,617.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 68c | 21,145$14,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 45c | 20,521$9,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,203.75 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 76c | 20,071$15,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed No | 64c | 20,050$12,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,773.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 35c | 19,634$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.63 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…4206backed Yes | 66c | 19,427$12,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 23c | 18,370$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,228.43 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 31c | 18,000$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,430 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 32c | 16,917$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.7 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 29c | 16,716$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,863.65 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 73c | 15,182$11,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.13 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…08f9backed Yes | 64c | 15,089$9,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 14c | 15,000$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,878.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…33bbbacked Yes | 40c | 14,718$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,794.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f4f1backed Yes | 73c | 14,706$10,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 11c | 14,030$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.25 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 37c | 13,481$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,481.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 40c | 13,303$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,032.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 56c | 12,528$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,554.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…4e2fbacked Yes | 13c | 11,549$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,034.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…efe1backed Yes | 79c | 11,531$9,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed No | 31c | 11,096$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.97 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…4a2bbacked Yes | 19c | 10,854$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,830.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 40c | 10,836$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.12 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 29c | 10,525$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,431.37 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…04d2backed Yes | 34c | 10,329$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Yes | 24c | 10,004$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 80c | 8,600$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.19 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…1c53backed Yes | 44c | 8,441$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 62c | 7,789$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 48c | 7,776$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 71c | 7,436$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.44 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 73c | 6,710$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.28 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…1626backed No | 36c | 6,619$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed No | 67c | 6,600$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…3cc8backed Yes | 48c | 6,545$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 40c | 6,333$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 38c | 5,498$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.41 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 77c | 5,262$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 22c | 4,834$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.16 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed No | 62c | 4,408$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 67c | 4,229$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked No | 7c | 4,121$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.13 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b5…a9aebacked No | 76c | 4,070$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…690ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,055$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…e84cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked No | 79c | 4,000$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 80c | 3,950$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 62c | 3,900$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…8a51backed Yes | 62c | 3,888$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…75dfbacked Yes | 69c | 3,836$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…338dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,778$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…fa51backed No | 65c | 3,774$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…4753backed No | 6c | 3,317$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 71c | 3,309$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.59 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed No | 80c | 3,160$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.95 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 68c | 2,528$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed Yes | 10c | 2,490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed Yes | 62c | 2,429$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 15c | 2,339$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.86 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 2,208$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.82 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 6c | 2,021$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 10c | 1,881$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 8cpaid | +854.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,865$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 10c | 1,777$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…ed9bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,719$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 4c | 1,690$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 28cpaid | +292.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 13c | 1,600$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…9f84backed No | 67c | 1,559$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 20c | 1,557$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Yes | 76c | 1,541$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 29c | 1,485$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.95 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aae…483cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,462$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,440$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…d1f4backed Yes | 73c | 1,376$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed Yes | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 7c | 1,316$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Kim Kyong-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.