Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d7e5b6f30706c8beb02cd4e5220b0e53ee1ee7c2b641530146a0706ee15e8d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,714,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,711,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,714,122 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a1a…c549backed Yes	5c	273,152$13,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,744.91	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+228.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53a…19a4backed Yes	2c	266,281$5,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,334.85	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.21per pick	10cpaid	+175.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb73…370fbacked Yes	6c	215,444$11,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,894.03	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0773…1539backed Yes	5c	184,772$8,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,997.97	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-70%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb576…5a32backed Yes	5c	180,022$9,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,227.26	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes	3c	136,282$4,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,160.93	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+647.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes	5c	130,460$6,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,557.76	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0663…4a2bbacked Yes	9c	102,754$8,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,995.26	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b6e…b682backed Yes	7c	95,827$6,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,746.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	72,050$4,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,107.99	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…c397backed Yes	5c	66,336$3,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,337.46	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbe…3f9fbacked Yes	6c	65,457$4,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,213.21	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.45per pick	5cpaid	+898.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d05…a1edbacked Yes	4c	60,000$2,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,254.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes	8c	51,325$3,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,866.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.37per pick	23cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7a…201abacked Yes	7c	50,000$3,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,617.19	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed9…8fefbacked Yes	5c	49,938$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…9558backed Yes	10c	44,549$4,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,432	20	25%5 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cc…bd01backed Yes	2c	42,386$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1b…4d9bbacked Yes	5c	40,383$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,003.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes	4c	35,317$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.44	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f4…8521backed Yes	10c	32,589$3,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,265.39	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6142…dc66backed Yes	9c	32,081$3,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,041.31	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…98f8backed Yes	7c	30,474$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd540…770bbacked Yes	5c	29,172$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd92…6b97backed Yes	6c	27,143$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xed9a…8dd2backed Yes	4c	26,695$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	26,121$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.46	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes	1c	25,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c21…d2febacked Yes	6c	24,528$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.65	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes	4c	24,353$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.87	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes	7c	24,213$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.22	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…4b39backed Yes	4c	23,063$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.95	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce82…b52ebacked Yes	9c	21,863$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0071…2a63backed Yes	9c	21,825$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes	8c	20,992$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,684.18	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ae…7126backed Yes	4c	19,817$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.87	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+416.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	6c	19,274$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	27cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46da…b655backed Yes	1c	18,805$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.44	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes	10c	18,083$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760.02	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2a…d14ebacked Yes	8c	18,000$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430.51	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34dc…08e3backed Yes	2c	17,547$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.43	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef58…c8b1backed Yes	5c	17,362$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf83e…947bbacked Yes	8c	17,273$1,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x550e…e763backed Yes	4c	16,545$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Yes	4c	15,543$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.89	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes	7c	15,520$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.05	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcc…b294backed Yes	7c	15,420$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.52	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ec…c5e2backed Yes	7c	14,986$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.11	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes	9c	14,915$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.45	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	14,376$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.11	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6028…10eebacked Yes	2c	14,220$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.26	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…b150backed Yes	8c	13,931$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.32	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes	10c	13,908$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0616…1a9dbacked Yes	5c	13,895$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.77	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…4db2backed Yes	7c	13,828$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.49	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d65…16d4backed Yes	11c	13,136$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8d…21bcbacked Yes	4c	12,932$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dba…7a15backed Yes	6c	12,358$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.75	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+6.7wins	+0.24per pick	22cpaid	+101.4%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x44ea…3ae7backed Yes	9c	12,330$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3314…65a3backed Yes	12c	12,102$1,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…0e91backed Yes	1c	12,101$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53cf…7d67backed Yes	8c	11,500$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.7	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ec…a773backed Yes	8c	11,420$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa73e…1d9ebacked Yes	4c	11,151$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f9…4206backed Yes	7c	11,110$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca3…e6c5backed Yes	7c	10,888$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x621c…907ebacked Yes	5c	10,845$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.19	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd136…1db4backed Yes	9c	10,748$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.01	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes	0c	10,696$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d40…f4f8backed Yes	1c	10,598$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88be…652dbacked Yes	10c	10,364$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.2	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8219…eea8backed Yes	9c	10,140$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6091…972bbacked Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c8…a348backed Yes	4c	9,945$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.13	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	9,631$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.74	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd45b…7ca8backed Yes	5c	8,474$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes	3c	7,946$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d3…ce59backed Yes	13c	7,931$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf978…cf69backed Yes	6c	7,914$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.49	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db1…46a4backed Yes	9c	7,865$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.42	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad99…ffd9backed Yes	6c	7,801$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.81	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…e65dbacked Yes	4c	7,545$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03d1…42fabacked Yes	4c	7,514$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed Yes	6c	7,469$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.67	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	9c	7,083$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.33	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes	8c	6,650$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.35	62	29%18 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…a2d2backed Yes	8c	6,431$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.86	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.17per pick	13cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x96c4…e31ebacked Yes	2c	6,049$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.73	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…6b06backed Yes	9c	5,489$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.1	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…190ebacked Yes	12c	5,181$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x641e…aeb7backed Yes	6c	5,134$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.66	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	30cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab55…df2abacked Yes	8c	5,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0247…8a56backed Yes	10c	5,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	39cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fda…bc2dbacked Yes	7c	4,994$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.19	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3856…95cfbacked Yes	4c	4,829$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…543cbacked Yes	7c	4,593$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3588…e474backed Yes	6c	4,402$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.09	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	9cpaid	+176.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bc…33c6backed Yes	2c	4,304$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event