World Politics · resolved market
Will Na Kyung-won win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23ab0d8401bf0700f17d4bc8be9ccd5baf46854f3a8750dcc0ddfa0fd523443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 1 wallet that holds a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc687…8460backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Na Kyung-won win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Kim Kyong-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.