Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1a44bf2c5003c3011ddd2c8cf3e87ea3bc3ed32a47e66181977766e0a33b5e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,288,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,928,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,288,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7c8…a348backed Yes	50c	213,859$106,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106,620.54	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb8…f4f1backed No	76c	141,670$107,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,955.26	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb006…a328backed Yes	0c	100,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9be9backed Yes	10c	100,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dff…c07ebacked Yes	0c	86,000$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	4cpaid	+83.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	18c	84,803$15,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,613.96	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	31c	72,390$22,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,774.97	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e5f…8a51backed No	74c	70,038$51,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,244.39	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	15c	67,135$9,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,777.02	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes	33c	65,449$21,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,780.11	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	30cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d46…ef86backed Yes	16c	56,224$8,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,991.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked No	63c	55,129$34,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,479.05	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	7c	50,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	45,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6091…972bbacked No	37c	43,000$16,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,954.99	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	42,400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes	78c	41,219$32,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,000	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	1c	39,215$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.62	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	72c	33,882$24,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,234.71	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…ac84backed Yes	4c	33,333$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.32	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes	15c	32,978$4,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,964.62	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes	5c	32,646$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765.84	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6a5e…7f28backed No	45c	30,997$14,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,947.65	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…6141backed Yes	18c	27,866$4,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,910.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d86…d560backed Yes	66c	24,700$16,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,182	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	27c	24,155$6,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,467.92	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd4…f3b6backed No	28c	23,569$6,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,079.58	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes	10c	22,224$2,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,324.42	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d17…9558backed Yes	37c	20,694$7,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,599.4	20	25%5 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes	16c	19,882$3,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,182.89	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f4…8521backed No	59c	19,342$11,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,892.42	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed No	21c	18,960$3,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,965.18	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c62…5d44backed Yes	73c	17,949$13,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,084.76	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84f8…d7bdbacked No	24c	17,760$4,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,438.05	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9edb…9f05backed Yes	50c	15,426$7,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,739.85	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f9…4206backed Yes	25c	14,764$3,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,691.03	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No	31c	14,301$4,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,892.58	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b3…8498backed Yes	77c	14,290$10,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,943	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c21…d2febacked Yes	28c	13,346$3,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,790.3	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	76c	13,246$10,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,079.43	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	13,118$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed No	39c	12,280$4,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,455.97	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0deb…12c9backed Yes	50c	11,860$5,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,874.06	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…543cbacked Yes	0c	11,839$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No	33c	11,779$3,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,927.15	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes	11c	11,036$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.62	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed No	54c	11,033$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,032.61	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	34cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes	17c	11,000$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.94	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7a…201abacked Yes	29c	9,786$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,820.3	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1601…2841backed Yes	60c	9,384$5,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,638.55	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…c12dbacked No	61c	8,845$5,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,470.17	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	9c	8,448$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.01	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	57c	8,381$4,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,801.06	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd26…4422backed Yes	6c	8,371$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.28	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	21cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes	49c	7,644$3,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,746.44	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb11c…fe41backed Yes	37c	7,090$2,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,589.78	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	69c	7,055$4,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,878.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e2…6e12backed Yes	70c	6,903$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800.01	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f65…e944backed Yes	73c	6,850$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.8wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c5b…a790backed Yes	64c	6,535$4,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,153.08	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x10bd…3a02backed Yes	68c	6,458$4,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,416.86	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4285…e5ddbacked No	75c	6,443$4,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.84	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes	69c	6,133$4,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,201.19	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes	55c	6,000$3,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,280	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked No	67c	5,840$3,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,946.26	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	32c	5,500$1,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765	152	30.3%46 W · 106 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad99…ffd9backed No	55c	5,366$2,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.21	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b99…1e3dbacked No	72c	5,070$3,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…b5b3backed No	73c	5,018$3,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.72	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	35c	5,007$1,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.35	79	32.9%26 W · 53 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed No	65c	4,980$3,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,735.76	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de7…2d9abacked No	35c	4,879$1,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,148.21	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	30cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bcc…b294backed Yes	14c	4,696$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.16	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dd…8701backed Yes	46c	4,516$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.72	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf479…190ebacked Yes	50c	4,471$2,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,223.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	0c	4,383$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes	29c	4,288$1,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.6	140	33.6%47 W · 93 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	71c	4,000$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	76c	3,799$2,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,889.58	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b9…fa51backed Yes	56c	3,792$2,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,123.27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7884…447abacked Yes	33c	3,769$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…b979backed No	33c	3,732$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.49	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+4.5wins	+0.21per pick	25cpaid	+274.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x892d…602cbacked Yes	78c	3,681$2,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,881.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes	38c	3,675$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,403.9	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+599.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc370…98ebbacked Yes	67c	3,460$2,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.13	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x310e…5050backed Yes	18c	3,439$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.81	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Yes	41c	3,220$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.47	105	20%21 W · 84 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd136…1db4backed No	21c	2,612$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.31	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	77c	2,584$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes	26c	2,543$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.08	85	29.4%25 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641e…aeb7backed Yes	26c	2,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…6b06backed Yes	38c	2,435$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.83	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d1…4525backed Yes	23c	2,340$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.45	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd303…9c76backed No	26c	2,222$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.88	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cf…7d67backed Yes	10c	2,220$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.95	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c6…9bc5backed Yes	56c	2,169$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.63	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	52cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e56…35d5backed Yes	7c	2,137$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.35	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2a…e2c7backed Yes	73c	2,052$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.75	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…338dbacked Yes	59c	1,900$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event