Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3d6106393e34528308f42d5caee3d9d38e35286272bcf235822f4940e7be5c

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,392,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,445,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,392,657 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c0f…0d68backed Yes	3c	108,105$2,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,972.65	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeacd…8143backed Yes	4c	83,557$3,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,152.21	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed Yes	3c	83,462$2,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,587.32	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874b…b707backed Yes	5c	77,242$3,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,505.65	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	4c	54,504$2,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.84	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes	4c	54,466$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,224.66	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	4c	53,231$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,034.48	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481a…d1e6backed Yes	4c	46,879$1,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.28	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35e…26ccbacked Yes	10c	43,461$4,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,151.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3826…b1f9backed Yes	3c	38,951$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	38,365$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.8	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x567a…f5f4backed Yes	6c	38,085$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed50…9e1fbacked Yes	5c	37,673$1,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,716.22	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes	3c	33,208$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.04	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4343…3be2backed Yes	5c	31,357$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,613.23	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	4cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	3c	30,990$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.75	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6135…efc3backed Yes	4c	30,310$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.66	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7605…5806backed Yes	5c	26,891$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x641e…aeb7backed Yes	3c	24,679$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.44	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes	5c	24,472$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.01	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x072a…7af9backed Yes	5c	24,233$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.73	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	7c	23,950$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.92	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e1…f3fdbacked Yes	5c	23,925$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,304.79	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	3c	22,493$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.27	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes	5c	22,000$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.74	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+261.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d24…a0b3backed Yes	5c	21,274$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.83	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x084c…a257backed Yes	4c	21,135$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1353…d49dbacked Yes	5c	20,984$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.77	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x352c…1432backed Yes	7c	19,183$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad85…2715backed Yes	4c	18,503$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…bc8fbacked Yes	4c	17,200$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.8	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7504…9c69backed Yes	0c	16,740$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…b674backed Yes	6c	16,717$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001d…c013backed Yes	1c	14,078$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x355f…0df8backed Yes	4c	13,854$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.29	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-5.6wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes	12c	13,402$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.75	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb976…c8acbacked Yes	6c	13,101$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.22	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes	3c	12,517$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.52	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x214a…996bbacked Yes	6c	11,505$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b84…6588backed Yes	4c	11,240$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…3a15backed Yes	5c	11,038$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.93	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6d6bbacked Yes	7c	10,799$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	6c	9,773$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.03	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x957a…6992backed Yes	0c	9,587$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Yes	6c	8,734$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe87c…eb00backed Yes	4c	8,468$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes	5c	8,310$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.71	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…6b06backed Yes	4c	7,653$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.35	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…b243backed Yes	5c	7,599$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1416…8cccbacked Yes	6c	7,153$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes	5c	6,113$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.2	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd26…4422backed Yes	4c	5,908$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.47	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	21cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccb8…2564backed Yes	6c	5,828$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes	4c	5,710$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.15	62	29%18 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…a994backed Yes	4c	5,617$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	5,505$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.57	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c6…fbf5backed Yes	5c	5,291$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x676c…904cbacked Yes	3c	5,165$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Yes	3c	5,033$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.05	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a5…f270backed Yes	5c	4,593$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.64	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…639fbacked Yes	3c	4,300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4131…286bbacked Yes	4c	4,100$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9297…e0ccbacked Yes	6c	3,978$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.81	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb592…1cabbacked Yes	7c	3,949$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.18	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03c…e8a6backed Yes	4c	3,938$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	6c	3,872$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.92	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…39b8backed Yes	5c	3,745$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.37	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x861a…6ab4backed Yes	5c	3,700$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.8	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…cddabacked Yes	3c	3,529$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes	1c	3,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.15per pick	15cpaid	+166.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85bd…9a38backed Yes	3c	3,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e1f…aeafbacked Yes	7c	3,194$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d1…4525backed Yes	4c	3,180$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.79	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe6…f28ebacked Yes	1c	2,918$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	3c	2,900$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.03	457	23.2%106 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes	3c	2,884$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.75	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd1…22c8backed Yes	4c	2,795$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes	4c	2,550$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.3	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc84c…4b4dbacked Yes	3c	2,517$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.89	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	16cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	3c	2,465$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.81	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ad…8ac8backed Yes	3c	2,435$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.97	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae7…6dabbacked Yes	4c	2,237$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43f…e7eebacked Yes	2c	2,123$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be2…08c0backed Yes	5c	2,100$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693e…c4b0backed Yes	4c	2,067$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.86	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…4b39backed Yes	5c	2,002$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+86.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11b2…201bbacked Yes	4c	1,956$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0df4…98b5backed Yes	6c	1,903$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…7ee3backed Yes	5c	1,876$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…475dbacked Yes	4c	1,840$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae06…8acebacked Yes	4c	1,741$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.56	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566c…1e9abacked Yes	3c	1,699$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…9fefbacked Yes	6c	1,677$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cc…bd01backed Yes	3c	1,613$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7021backed Yes	4c	1,599$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes	4c	1,522$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.24	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes	4c	1,487$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	85	29.4%25 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…e975backed Yes	4c	1,455$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event