Token Launches · resolved market
Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116667e4254c4bc91e585db94cb91df8de726c4862f1c8f3eb974f5aff833409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 7c | 4,200$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 3,035$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…43cebacked Yes | 29c | 2,200$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 47c | 2,126$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed No | 69c | 1,754$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 1,625$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.29 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…9775backed No | 32c | 837.63$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 56c | 565.74$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 45c | 503$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 67c | 502.36$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 43c | 450.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 449.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 68c | 422.51$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 50c | 390.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cc…815ebacked Yes | 59c | 390.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e428backed Yes | 63c | 364.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…c1cabacked No | 30c | 331.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 11c | 311.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…8f8bbacked No | 66c | 303.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…4edbbacked Yes | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…045cbacked No | 71c | 288.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 41c | 259.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd6…3739backed No | 74c | 256.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…217cbacked No | 61c | 251.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f2…b4d7backed Yes | 29c | 239.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…5dc2backed Yes | 42c | 237.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…53b2backed No | 66c | 237.12$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…5acfbacked No | 44c | 233.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…ceaebacked No | 77c | 221.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…6f62backed Yes | 51c | 197.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 80c | 194.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…7513backed Yes | 52c | 192.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 33c | 191.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68b…c396backed Yes | 16c | 188.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…17ebbacked No | 54c | 184.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 21c | 165.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…ca49backed Yes | 64c | 159.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…d07abacked No | 71c | 156.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb2…31d2backed Yes | 31c | 148.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ba7dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…f62fbacked No | 36c | 139$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed No | 73c | 137.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked No | 40c | 123.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 51c | 123.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 32c | 120.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…a7dabacked No | 42c | 119.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed No | 74c | 115.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…19a2backed No | 48c | 115.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…3041backed No | 31c | 115$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…084ebacked No | 69c | 106.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…59bebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…80c0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…3e93backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 16c | 98.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 30c | 97.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…c68dbacked No | 56c | 91.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 40c | 90.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 67c | 79.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…4677backed No | 74c | 79.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fd…b761backed Yes | 35c | 73.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…8909backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…5c85backed No | 41c | 71.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed No | 68c | 70.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…3e4abacked Yes | 69c | 69.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…29fbbacked No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef97…9790backed No | 44c | 67.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…04dcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ee05backed No | 44c | 65.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…564bbacked No | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…db59backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked No | 62c | 62.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 51c | 60.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…7673backed No | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…fb00backed Yes | 44c | 56.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…3866backed No | 45c | 55.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…6015backed No | 44c | 53.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…ab71backed No | 45c | 53.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…f932backed No | 27c | 52.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +256.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…6502backed Yes | 29c | 52.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…ca8ebacked No | 68c | 51.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…a14bbacked No | 60c | 50.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 32c | 46.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 71c | 45.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…9386backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 42.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…96f6backed No | 59c | 41.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0d…2746backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…1b23backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.