MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abd1f5789ed0cc28be1862adbd52bb965c5b7c14c4e056b0462b0d59da8dcb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Dodgers | 60c | 50,235$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers | 58c | 20,249$11,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,744.17 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 18,976$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,961.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 18,511$7,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,892.63 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 15,365$9,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,031.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Dodgers | 58c | 14,903$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 14,357$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.24 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Dodgers | 58c | 13,957$8,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,051.07 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 11,803$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.67 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 11,587$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.52 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 10,401$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 6,742$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.94 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,868$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,746$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 4,720$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.36 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,587$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.41 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Dodgers | 45c | 3,163$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers | 6c | 3,044$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 7c | 2,866$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 23c | 2,443$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 2,332$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.05 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 10c | 2,056$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Dodgers | 57c | 2,010$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,818$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.44 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,813$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.29 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7deebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,638$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 22c | 1,550$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.63 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 7c | 1,504$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,416$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.28 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…222fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Dodgers | 51c | 1,288$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 1,272$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…7bc7backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,200$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,115$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.67 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,085$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Dodgers | 6c | 976.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…a06fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 921$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…8559backed Dodgers | 58c | 879$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Dodgers | 12c | 851.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 611.81$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 587.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.94 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…d1f1backed Dodgers | 30c | 550$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Dodgers | 2c | 549.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 524.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 517.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.33 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 503.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 464.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Dodgers | 26c | 390.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Dodgers | 57c | 390$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 385.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 59c | 354.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 352.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 351.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers | 58c | 345.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Dodgers | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Dodgers | 7c | 287.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 14c | 284.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 59c | 271.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Dodgers | 57c | 261.64$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 258.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…6283backed Dodgers | 57c | 244.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 207.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 199.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Dodgers | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 192.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 179.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 147$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 121.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…000fbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3cc2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 107.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 103.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Dodgers | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked Dodgers | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…4eb3backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Dodgers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…fa54backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 96.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…de89backed Dodgers | 58c | 92.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…dc4bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 91.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Dodgers | 59c | 88.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Dodgers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Dodgers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Dodgers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.