Movies · resolved market
Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9742996b5423a569f012ee3e4702182f6b44aac7d51799eec3fadb2444beef20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 44c | 3,908$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 32c | 3,509$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 3,201$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.41 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d3…634ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 62c | 1,637$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.64 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 40c | 1,431$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.82 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 73c | 1,380$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 30c | 1,071$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.03 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 22c | 814.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.05 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 80c | 625.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 624$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.94 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 45c | 605.41$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.43 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 70c | 444.33$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 27c | 412$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0e84backed Yes | 74c | 380$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 61c | 356.25$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 71c | 326.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…5680backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cee9backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…daa0backed Yes | 80c | 270$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…37f5backed No | 20c | 270$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 227$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 60c | 225.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…3993backed No | 21c | 223$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…e37fbacked Yes | 79c | 223$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed No | 48c | 210.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…8ccdbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 60c | 194.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 26c | 183.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…3a16backed Yes | 73c | 176.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d4…9fb5backed No | 20c | 145$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…f571backed Yes | 80c | 145$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 41c | 137.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 28c | 127.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 74c | 123.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 123.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 30c | 122.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…161dbacked Yes | 75c | 121.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 115.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 75c | 112$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 50c | 110.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…dec6backed No | 21c | 110$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…f68fbacked Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed No | 47c | 107.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b21…735fbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7a20backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…b4febacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…d18dbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…66bbbacked No | 34c | 88.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked Yes | 71c | 84.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…f3abbacked Yes | 61c | 81.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…d365backed Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…e826backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…c739backed No | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 54c | 71.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 55.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 45c | 53.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…f2aabacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked No | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…c0edbacked Yes | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…16bebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 47c | 48.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 26c | 48.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 69c | 45.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…0ebcbacked No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…13a2backed Yes | 66c | 40.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 31c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 44c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea6…1550backed Yes | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed No | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…6417backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…5409backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…426cbacked Yes | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…acb1backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…ceb2backed Yes | 78c | 26.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…f6c4backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…69e0backed Yes | 59c | 24.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…6075backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…c852backed Yes | 59c | 20.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…35e7backed Yes | 71c | 20.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?this page
- Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes won
- Will 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'Blitz' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'Challengers' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes won
- Will 'Gladiator 2' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes won
- Will 'Nosferatu' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'September 5' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'The Piano Lesson' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'The Seed of the Sacred Fig' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No won
- Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.