Movies · resolved market
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5979efb742f61373752bf774004a09c905f47e29a5fa99515dc09024154e6391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Yes | 0c | 64,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 75c | 1,158$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 24c | 743.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 26c | 449.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 23c | 272$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…a5ecbacked Yes | 13c | 230$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 24c | 200.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 24c | 116.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…67f4backed Yes | 13c | 116.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 24c | 105.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 79c | 62.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bda5backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…37e5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…de43backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 77c | 33.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?this page
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?Yes won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 70?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.