Movies · resolved market
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832baba7ea82158fd165d2133d20104813efddbe49fe09a06327fe5eb081750c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd673…0c20backed No | 0c | 88,200$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 54c | 4,013$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.49 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…b2dcbacked No | 20c | 2,250$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 72c | 1,974$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.23 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 75c | 1,751$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 67c | 1,441$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +160%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 19c | 641.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 40c | 400.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 66c | 320.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 16c | 198.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 30c | 181.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…d6e6backed No | 13c | 164.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 21c | 142$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 54c | 108.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 23c | 91.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…c521backed Yes | 54c | 90.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…5b98backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 52c | 77.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 71c | 65.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…7806backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 63c | 59.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 58c | 54.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…b07ebacked No | 71c | 52.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 52c | 44.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 57c | 38.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?this page
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 70?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.