Movies · resolved market
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 70?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d792bdbec0af60c2006cceac6384a89df156dc8e4eb103d166ef79d51eb82b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Yes | 0c | 34,700$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed Yes | 8c | 999.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 30c | 181.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 18c | 179.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 23c | 166.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 10c | 166.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 22c | 139.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Yes | 12c | 121.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…8a2dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…a5ecbacked Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…37e5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked No | 67c | 45.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…48bcbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 70?this page
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?Yes won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?No won
- Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.