MLB · resolved market
World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a142e157db56065f009e2e0c4914a22e9efc7adfd53a626da2ac3ecba42a6ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yankees | 45c | 20,417$9,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…f4e1backed Dodgers | 63c | 16,517$10,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yankees | 7c | 7,425$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yankees | 21c | 6,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yankees | 24c | 5,873$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yankees | 15c | 5,111$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.05 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf84…1bd7backed Dodgers | 54c | 4,862$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yankees | 6c | 2,742$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Yankees | 22c | 2,702$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…3384backed Yankees | 8c | 2,698$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…5961backed Yankees | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Yankees | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yankees | 34c | 1,173$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yankees | 44c | 1,044$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…265dbacked Yankees | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked Yankees | 22c | 876.24$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…7c8cbacked Yankees | 13c | 863$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yankees | 18c | 784.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yankees | 39c | 647.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…7da2backed Yankees | 47c | 616.4$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…c8b3backed Yankees | 22c | 478.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Dodgers | 56c | 455.13$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…46f2backed Yankees | 12c | 419.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yankees | 45c | 396.15$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…73bebacked Dodgers | 47c | 385.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Yankees | 13c | 384.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…b223backed Yankees | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…90b1backed Dodgers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Dodgers | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 21c | 339.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yankees | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yankees | 12c | 289.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…45c7backed Dodgers | 54c | 273.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Dodgers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…ddf8backed Yankees | 47c | 259.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yankees | 46c | 256.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…df26backed Yankees | 12c | 252.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f908backed Dodgers | 54c | 225.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Dodgers | 55c | 199.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…b3a5backed Dodgers | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…0d30backed Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…5a86backed Yankees | 12c | 168.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…8e45backed Yankees | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…4c5bbacked Yankees | 12c | 134.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7a26backed Dodgers | 54c | 132.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c5f3backed Yankees | 12c | 126.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…8f7bbacked Yankees | 42c | 119.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yankees | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd1…3c76backed Yankees | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…a9f8backed Yankees | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Dodgers | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…ca3abacked Yankees | 13c | 92.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Dodgers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Dodgers | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…93fbbacked Yankees | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Dodgers | 55c | 74.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…5432backed Dodgers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked Yankees | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…fa94backed Dodgers | 68c | 64.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…fa39backed Dodgers | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…6ce0backed Dodgers | 55c | 39.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…f696backed Yankees | 45c | 37.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…6c06backed Dodgers | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…33f6backed Yankees | 45c | 30.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…8d3bbacked Yankees | 47c | 30.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…7656backed Dodgers | 56c | 29.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…fa6abacked Dodgers | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…a6d6backed Yankees | 47c | 27.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…faf7backed Dodgers | 54c | 26.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…e782backed Dodgers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…2173backed Dodgers | 56c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c70…1111backed Dodgers | 56c | 22.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…17a7backed Dodgers | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…6716backed Dodgers | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.