NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09705a1441948a996cc2a053033f39ff13a921f2080b2c10a213748fff54e8be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Packers | 45c | 66,453$29,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,721.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Packers | 4c | 58,059$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.32 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Lions | 60c | 39,500$23,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,839.81 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Packers | 40c | 16,749$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.4 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Packers | 2c | 9,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lions | 55c | 9,957$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.76 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Lions | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Lions | 70c | 6,891$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.87 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 39c | 6,071$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.05 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…e452backed Packers | 2c | 5,377$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Packers | 16c | 4,895$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.71 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Lions | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Packers | 42c | 3,865$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.09 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…42e5backed Lions | 57c | 3,492$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Packers | 1c | 3,064$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…f699backed Lions | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Lions | 77c | 2,578$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Packers | 43c | 2,502$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4809…9e7bbacked Packers | 1c | 1,940$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Packers | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.98 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Packers | 11c | 1,820$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Lions | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.63 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Lions | 58c | 1,622$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.39 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Packers | 20c | 1,377$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Lions | 66c | 1,255$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.23 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Packers | 42c | 1,181$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Packers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Packers | 41c | 1,092$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.15 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5187…3096backed Lions | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…5b30backed Packers | 41c | 1,004$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lions | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lions | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Packers | 44c | 955.23$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Lions | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Packers | 43c | 830.23$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Lions | 56c | 804.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Packers | 41c | 802.28$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Lions | 59c | 755.86$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.96 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Packers | 42c | 746.47$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Packers | 44c | 716.28$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Lions | 65c | 708.17$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Packers | 32c | 700$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Lions | 63c | 650$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Lions | 57c | 650$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Packers | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Lions | 58c | 554.94$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Packers | 44c | 551.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Lions | 65c | 522.58$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lions | 57c | 504.05$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Lions | 57c | 500$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Packers | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Packers | 31c | 489.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions | 58c | 476$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Packers | 44c | 456.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Packers | 43c | 453.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Lions | 62c | 443$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.91 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d180backed Lions | 57c | 432.91$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…1ecabacked Lions | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Packers | 43c | 430.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.8wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Packers | 47c | 403.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…995fbacked Packers | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Lions | 58c | 377.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…6f68backed Packers | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lions | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7b9bbacked Lions | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Lions | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Lions | 64c | 343.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Packers | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Packers | 37c | 323.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Lions | 58c | 315.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lions | 59c | 312.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…56f7backed Lions | 59c | 307.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Lions | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Packers | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Packers | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…367bbacked Lions | 58c | 297.57$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Lions | 58c | 297.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Lions | 60c | 280$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…979cbacked Packers | 43c | 278.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Lions | 58c | 275.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…06a8backed Lions | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Packers | 41c | 249.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…8f77backed Lions | 58c | 249.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lions | 58c | 248.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…275ebacked Lions | 58c | 247.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…9d76backed Lions | 69c | 245.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Lions | 63c | 238.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Packers | 34c | 233.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…5fb2backed Packers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Packers | 15c | 229.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Packers | 44c | 227.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…7477backed Packers | 43c | 221.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Packers | 44c | 208.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Lions | 78c | 205.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…9695backed Packers | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Packers | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lions | 59c | 181.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Packers | 31c | 180.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Lions | 54c | 179.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.