Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85516717dd49a6f88cb3364a1d272b47b952885a69721e647e116a44b7497a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…8ef1backed No | 0c | 69,907$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 50,292$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.39 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 2c | 16,147$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.27 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…1427backed No | 0c | 12,405$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 29c | 6,712$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.71 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…e4e4backed No | 0c | 6,236$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 20c | 3,540$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.95 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 13c | 3,501$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.98 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 49c | 3,420$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 3,369$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.82 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,741$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.81 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked No | 6c | 2,481$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 27c | 2,188$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.27 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,063$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.23 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 6c | 2,022$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,998$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…ca6abacked Yes | 27c | 1,788$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 68c | 1,705$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.11 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 31c | 1,602$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.11 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 24c | 1,585$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.94 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 65c | 1,555$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.6 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 50c | 1,455$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.92 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 45c | 1,417$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.38 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 74c | 1,350$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…dca1backed No | 3c | 1,186$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 15c | 1,113$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.99 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…b0a9backed No | 5c | 1,090$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…95a0backed No | 26c | 961.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 2c | 936.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked No | 50c | 912$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked No | 27c | 884.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 12c | 822$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 21c | 777.23$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.55 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 17c | 695.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 599.98$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 76c | 548.42$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…caa5backed No | 71c | 452.75$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed No | 63c | 452.7$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.47 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 400$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed No | 21c | 399.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 65c | 370.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…2091backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 308.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No | 72c | 308.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 39c | 308.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.93 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Yes | 29c | 305.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 76c | 302.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 25c | 278.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 16c | 275$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 238.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 65c | 230$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 35c | 228.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 76c | 224$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 36c | 223.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 24c | 204$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 63c | 200.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 21c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…af9ebacked Yes | 12c | 199.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 6c | 194.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 41c | 171.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 141.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…525abacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +276.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 50c | 123.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 42c | 121.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed No | 78c | 119.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 75c | 109.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Yes | 16c | 103.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…f1aabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 23c | 98.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 53c | 91.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Yes | 18c | 90.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 71c | 86.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 12c | 86.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 25c | 83.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed No | 39c | 78.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…5d9fbacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…9136backed No | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed No | 41c | 72.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 71c | 68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 60c | 66.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…9d2fbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…8e16backed No | 56c | 53.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3781…b822backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…3ac3backed No | 74c | 51.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…e606backed Yes | 26c | 50.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +90%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…f825backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6e…1571backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.