TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4aef…9337backed No38c2,040$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.446144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes61c1,864$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked Yes27c1,290$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.8314142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No39c1,250$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fa…77b5backed No42c1,240$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.493721.6%8 W · 29 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xcaa9…511abacked Yes60c1,155$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe429…fb94backed No75c1,051$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Yes59c1,050$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes47c1,011$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.544560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcbb…c88cbacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No14c863.26$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1229547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes60c762.5$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7217243%74 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e75…1997backed No40c756.67$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…2433backed Yes32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed No9c666$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Yes25c649.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.985446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes51c613.74$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.011926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes27c610.62$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes50c579.37$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.775326.4%14 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No39c497.51$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4510933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed No57c407.55$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.571050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2965637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes60c393.33$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.331957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f02…a396backed Yes70c362.56$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes26c337.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.513633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32be…360dbacked Yes31c318.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+218.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes30c300$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.852725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes41c291$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.112030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b81…274cbacked Yes59c285.68$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e91…0042backed Yes70c265.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4e…c452backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc9…c69cbacked Yes26c239.6$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+171.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5366…73aabacked No73c208.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.294957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b0d…6559backed Yes61c204.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…563dbacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes26c189.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1607…4e61backed Yes27c186$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No66c180$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb324…4c0ebacked Yes60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9429…11b3backed Yes36c158.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.33425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ef…2fd0backed Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0268…ab71backed Yes26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes25c143.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.482035%7 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick25cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa63f…7890backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b8…1f22backed Yes55c116.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+126.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1110738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc39b…4ddbbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cfe…59b6backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…1630backed No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696f…5ef7backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf539…65b3backed Yes59c98.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Yes78c92.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5e4…ebe8backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes38c81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd385…af0dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed No68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd94…72b0backed No42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ac…3ba3backed Yes33c69.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed No42c66.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.861154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Yes61c65.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…b65fbacked Yes61c60.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c6…f536backed Yes26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x668b…7087backed No60c53.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7641…0089backed Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Yes59c47.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6512941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63f…8032backed Yes32c46.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.641650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8116…721fbacked Yes54c46.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc914…c458backed Yes26c45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+122.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…d146backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a9…94b3backed Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+258.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1693…bf49backed No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94c1…bf5abacked Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4531…b339backed Yes61c35.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes46c32.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c1…29cbbacked Yes59c30.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…aba9backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b84…05ebbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…9f69backed No70c23.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…68b8backed Yes61c22.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes61c21.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9f…d4edbacked No70c20.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0151…74e2backed No70c20.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…3161backed No70c20.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb931…7d01backed No76c18.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629a…45c1backed No70c17.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…8532backed No70c17.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2e…ff7dbacked No70c17.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfa…37f0backed Yes61c17.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0f5…8dedbacked No70c14.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d7…427ebacked Yes78c13.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.