CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Vitality win IEM Rio 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde07f282530b36901e79cb045cc947bb38a9dea7fc462f4b9475873cd79f1941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…563dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Yes | 24c | 949.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 30c | 428.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 28c | 333$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…2433backed Yes | 32c | 273$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 68c | 271$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes | 25c | 196.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 27c | 188.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 23c | 145.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd567…a97cbacked Yes | 31c | 133.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…4ddbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…5ef7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…ab71backed Yes | 25c | 80.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Yes | 24c | 74.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 35.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 64c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…db64backed No | 72c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…a43dbacked No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Vitality win IEM Rio 2024?this page
- Will Astralis win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Complexity win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Eternal Fire win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Faze Clan win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Furia win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Heroic win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Mouz win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?Yes won
- Will Pain Gaming win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will The Mongolz win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will Virtus.pro win IEM Rio 2024?No won
- Will another team win IEM Rio 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.