TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will G2 Esports win IEM Rio 2024?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,007 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x22db…190fbacked Yes13c2,500$330 inLost-$3302030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes5c1,937$102 inLost-$101.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked Yes15c1,300$195 inLost-$19514142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes13c793$103 inLost-$103.4975350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xece1…2b04backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c85…9e34backed Yes15c700$103 inLost-$102.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Yes14c700$98 inLost-$985637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1937…be57backed Yes9c540.23$49 inLost-$48.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb494…b364backed Yes14c500$70 inLost-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes9c341.51$31 inLost-$31.3729547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…4e61backed Yes15c334$50 inLost-$50.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes12c294.7$35 inLost-$35.3623355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dac…8e45backed Yes9c198.02$18 inLost-$18.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3634…310dbacked Yes13c175.19$23 inLost-$22.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Yes14c150$21 inLost-$21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…c763backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+144.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb139…bc2bbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yes14c100$14 inLost-$149647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddcf…1ab1backed Yes12c100$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.