Us Politics · resolved market
Will Florida legalize weed?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed19e48134b14b0188c49c7071c08c5dbe1a18804a4ab92baa7f8f4091408322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54c9…503cbacked No | 35c | 3,959$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…9e9cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,574$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed No | 15c | 2,100$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked No | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 77c | 1,713$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.44 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 74c | 1,669$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.02 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 30c | 1,443$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.77 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 33c | 1,059$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…524cbacked Yes | 65c | 967.39$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 76c | 950$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…8bfdbacked Yes | 57c | 826.95$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 28c | 700$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 43c | 627.68$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 37c | 622.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.46 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…9816backed Yes | 63c | 550$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…f241backed Yes | 78c | 527.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 10c | 504.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…212fbacked No | 40c | 441.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked No | 36c | 441.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f9…dc10backed Yes | 60c | 438.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…3f7abacked No | 34c | 362.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2993backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 315.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…4422backed No | 33c | 302.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 68c | 264$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 64c | 261.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 28c | 243.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 66c | 221$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 41c | 191.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 184.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 62c | 176.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…e1f4backed Yes | 59c | 165$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 62c | 161.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6d2fbacked Yes | 65c | 151.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…07c8backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…60d1backed No | 37c | 145.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 75c | 137$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 66c | 135.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 25c | 118.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…c487backed Yes | 72c | 111.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…d84abacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…262ebacked Yes | 66c | 89.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…9579backed Yes | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 70c | 83.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485b…24c3backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…461bbacked Yes | 72c | 74.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…fdb7backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7d75backed No | 30c | 72.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…d7ecbacked Yes | 72c | 72.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…2692backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…abd0backed No | 22c | 71.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bd…76bebacked No | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 37c | 65.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…e475backed Yes | 61c | 63.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 67c | 59.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 57c | 58.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…132fbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…6ed7backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…ac9cbacked No | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…dcdfbacked Yes | 70c | 54.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…afbebacked Yes | 57c | 49.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Yes | 71c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 56c | 45.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a6bfbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked No | 52c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…f608backed No | 50c | 33.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…74d9backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…cd42backed No | 53c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…60e1backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…48a3backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…f4f1backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed Yes | 68c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…f7fbbacked Yes | 67c | 16.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…ffa1backed Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.