Token Launches · resolved market
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116eda85fcc4f5df10e13e6290af9778126a1e5fd62074219addf5da20e3570d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 20c | 13,537$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.16 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…5ff4backed Yes | 75c | 5,614$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…43cabacked Yes | 69c | 4,092$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,833$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.46 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…b5d3backed Yes | 62c | 3,045$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 66c | 2,878$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.01 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…a238backed Yes | 65c | 2,185$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 2,155$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.78 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked No | 40c | 1,810$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 69c | 1,714$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…6316backed Yes | 43c | 1,467$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Yes | 62c | 1,010$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 34c | 911.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd013…94eabacked Yes | 66c | 759.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…5bf1backed Yes | 76c | 740.15$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…edecbacked Yes | 64c | 728$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 13c | 613.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…3186backed Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 492.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed No | 59c | 474.26$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 41c | 443.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 37c | 401.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…e9a7backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 35c | 342.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 42c | 333.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 34c | 310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…cdb0backed Yes | 73c | 305.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…ce53backed Yes | 33c | 302.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 68c | 293.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 65c | 280$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 46c | 277.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…9c61backed Yes | 42c | 270.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 72c | 270.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked Yes | 28c | 270$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 33c | 262.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 37c | 262.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 38c | 260.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 58c | 244.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bd…5a38backed No | 44c | 232.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…a6a9backed Yes | 70c | 221.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 64c | 210.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…d4f2backed Yes | 67c | 197.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 29c | 191$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 36c | 179.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…4760backed Yes | 72c | 177.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…79b6backed Yes | 30c | 166.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed Yes | 61c | 165.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2238backed No | 31c | 161.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…fc22backed Yes | 62c | 161.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…3d11backed Yes | 68c | 160.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…d094backed Yes | 32c | 155.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 15c | 153.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…9291backed No | 10c | 150.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…14f2backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…926ebacked Yes | 41c | 146.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…a447backed No | 72c | 139.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +636.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 36c | 138.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ee05backed Yes | 63c | 135.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…510cbacked Yes | 38c | 133.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…5f24backed Yes | 70c | 131.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…13fdbacked Yes | 70c | 119.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…074dbacked Yes | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…a052backed Yes | 45c | 110.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…5cddbacked No | 32c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 66c | 100.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc000…ea37backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…a344backed Yes | 60c | 98.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…b965backed No | 25c | 94.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…b93ebacked Yes | 70c | 94.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…d20cbacked Yes | 32c | 92.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +401.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 24c | 88.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…64a8backed No | 40c | 86.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…f13cbacked No | 38c | 86.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 42c | 83.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…9ad0backed No | 40c | 78.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…9769backed Yes | 36c | 77.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…74febacked Yes | 73c | 75.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…3041backed Yes | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…09d9backed Yes | 45c | 66.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 65.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…6925backed Yes | 63c | 63.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes | 34c | 63.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 30c | 61.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b8f5backed No | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…4ad7backed No | 45c | 60.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…c01abacked Yes | 70c | 60.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd919…6ea5backed Yes | 56c | 59.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…3ceabacked Yes | 28c | 52.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…a04bbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?this page
- Will $BITCOIN be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $FWOG be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $MOODENG be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $Mog be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $NEIRO be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.