Token Launches · resolved market
Will $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x371e5a57eb2a39b0eca983633dc6d9c4422a61814fa8e61aeca1fec7ebff7429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2af…d2a3backed Yes | 11c | 4,339$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 8c | 3,574$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 1,942$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 1,477$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1a57backed Yes | 8c | 1,455$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,425$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,379$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed Yes | 10c | 1,239$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…b836backed Yes | 8c | 566.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…e9a7backed Yes | 24c | 549.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 12c | 547.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…858abacked Yes | 7c | 501.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede7…0b30backed Yes | 27c | 499.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…243abacked Yes | 22c | 462.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…b324backed Yes | 11c | 444.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 15c | 422.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 2c | 401.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…6e1bbacked Yes | 6c | 370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…fc1ebacked Yes | 10c | 353.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…4553backed Yes | 11c | 349.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…b703backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…01b8backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 6c | 280$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 80c | 266.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 9c | 251.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…1d9fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…2cecbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 19c | 232.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes | 24c | 207.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…00b5backed Yes | 6c | 202.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…9a45backed Yes | 5c | 200.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07e…76afbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…3ceabacked No | 75c | 199.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…4b2abacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 36c | 153.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 145.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 16c | 142.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…a238backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…df33backed Yes | 8c | 138$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…3df3backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…6fa1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b00…e6edbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 18c | 123.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…0a31backed Yes | 23c | 111.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…a0a7backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4640…7137backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…0c6abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…82f9backed Yes | 20c | 96.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…f9d4backed Yes | 21c | 93.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a3d2backed Yes | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…bf0cbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…3de5backed Yes | 22c | 60.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…2b65backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…2251backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…ae82backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…8049backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…c4ecbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…0e4fbacked Yes | 64c | 16.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?this page
- Will $BITCOIN be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $FWOG be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $MOODENG be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $Mog be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will $NEIRO be listed first on Binance?No won
- Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.