UFC · resolved market
Njokuani vs. Gooden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc740a476105c03c4605f4eef569eb6d795622cfec99afcb31196d4e10215614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Njokuaniof Njokuani, Gooden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Gooden | 43c | 1,305$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.99 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Njokuani | 56c | 1,147$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.17 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Njokuani | 71c | 747.68$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Gooden | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Njokuani | 58c | 573.13$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Gooden | 20c | 411.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Njokuani | 60c | 348.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Gooden | 44c | 173.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Gooden | 41c | 160.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Gooden | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…a88cbacked Njokuani | 59c | 113.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Gooden | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Njokuani | 62c | 102.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…ab0fbacked Gooden | 42c | 100.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…5e4cbacked Njokuani | 59c | 100.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Gooden | 38c | 92.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Gooden | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Njokuani | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Njokuani | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Njokuani | 56c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Njokuani | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gooden | 37c | 30.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Njokuani | 63c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Njokuani vs. Goodenthis page
- Dawson vs. GarciaDawson won
- Rodriguez vs. MoronoRodriguez won
- Royval vs. TairaRoyval won
- Tavares vs. ParkPark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.