NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1240b5ab786aef07bfcd213c37b39850fcd348fc36911dad09b0dd1ed2cfeea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Patriots | 28c | 17,898$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Texans | 76c | 15,801$11,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Patriots | 27c | 10,684$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.17 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Patriots | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 72c | 7,274$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.22 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 26c | 5,079$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.47 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Texans | 73c | 5,040$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.44 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Texans | 73c | 2,626$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.9 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Texans | 75c | 2,564$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Patriots | 26c | 2,093$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…6b93backed Patriots | 27c | 2,056$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…af59backed Texans | 76c | 2,055$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…365fbacked Texans | 74c | 2,034$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Patriots | 26c | 2,001$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.26 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Texans | 74c | 1,751$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…e619backed Patriots | 27c | 1,568$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…d3adbacked Texans | 75c | 1,568$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Texans | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Texans | 73c | 1,260$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.19 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Texans | 74c | 1,211$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…d71fbacked Texans | 78c | 1,177$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…f091backed Texans | 75c | 1,170$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Patriots | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Patriots | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Patriots | 25c | 999.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…04f3backed Patriots | 26c | 999.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Texans | 77c | 977$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…0387backed Texans | 75c | 969.24$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…8c35backed Patriots | 27c | 881.48$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…a1e8backed Texans | 75c | 881.33$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Patriots | 27c | 873.47$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Patriots | 24c | 740.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots | 5c | 730.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Texans | 74c | 720$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…fe56backed Patriots | 28c | 686.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…d225backed Texans | 74c | 686.49$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…a9a6backed Texans | 74c | 615.53$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…96a9backed Texans | 75c | 611.88$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Patriots | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…90cbbacked Patriots | 13c | 569.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots | 4c | 522.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Texans | 74c | 500$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Texans | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Texans | 74c | 449.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Texans | 74c | 425.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Texans | 74c | 407.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Texans | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Patriots | 26c | 400.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texans | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Texans | 74c | 385$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Texans | 74c | 359.2$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Texans | 73c | 296$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Patriots | 27c | 266.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Texans | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Texans | 74c | 243.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…7beabacked Patriots | 27c | 240.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…aefebacked Texans | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Texans | 73c | 225.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Patriots | 27c | 214.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Texans | 75c | 208.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Texans | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…5d44backed Texans | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Texans | 76c | 180.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Patriots | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…6857backed Patriots | 30c | 162.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Texans | 75c | 154.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Patriots | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…b09abacked Texans | 74c | 148.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Texans | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…73afbacked Texans | 75c | 138.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked Texans | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…9741backed Texans | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Patriots | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Texans | 72c | 134.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…c24bbacked Patriots | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Patriots | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Texans | 73c | 101$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Texans | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Texans | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Patriots | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Patriots | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed Texans | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Patriots | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Patriots | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…91a1backed Patriots | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Patriots | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Patriots | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…9209backed Patriots | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Patriots | 27c | 91.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Patriots | 25c | 88.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e5…cff1backed Texans | 75c | 85.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…f454backed Patriots | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Texans | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Texans | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…aa21backed Patriots | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…0eecbacked Texans | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…c262backed Patriots | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…c1edbacked Texans | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.