NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ad079ea21568e02bcf0c1f9cfec5f077185d60571b3978a84f333a99b2c555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Steelers | 53c | 10,151$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Raiders | 44c | 8,904$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.73 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Raiders | 16c | 8,158$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.06 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raiders | 44c | 5,422$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.99 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Steelers | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Raiders | 29c | 2,852$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.09 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Raiders | 39c | 2,006$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.32 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 30c | 1,840$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.69 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 45c | 1,802$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.43 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 44c | 1,643$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.91 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…6f7bbacked Raiders | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raiders | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Steelers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Steelers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Raiders | 25c | 909.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Steelers | 57c | 876.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.62 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Steelers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 26c | 689.12$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Steelers | 61c | 637.2$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.51 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Raiders | 30c | 585.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Steelers | 65c | 579.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Steelers | 59c | 572.24$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Steelers | 56c | 536.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Steelers | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…ae0abacked Steelers | 62c | 495.16$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raiders | 50c | 460$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Steelers | 63c | 449.39$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Steelers | 67c | 417.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Steelers | 58c | 408.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Raiders | 40c | 373.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Steelers | 62c | 366$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Raiders | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Steelers | 61c | 365.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Raiders | 38c | 365$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…57edbacked Raiders | 39c | 359.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0042backed Steelers | 75c | 353.24$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Steelers | 54c | 340$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Raiders | 52c | 328.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Steelers | 63c | 323.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…6229backed Steelers | 62c | 297.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…d068backed Steelers | 63c | 296.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Steelers | 62c | 263$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Raiders | 27c | 261.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…7678backed Raiders | 39c | 253.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Steelers | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Steelers | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…a3c7backed Raiders | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Steelers | 66c | 234.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Steelers | 62c | 221.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Raiders | 39c | 217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Steelers | 46c | 216.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Steelers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Raiders | 40c | 206.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…774abacked Raiders | 56c | 203.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Steelers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Steelers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Raiders | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Steelers | 70c | 170.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…b5f4backed Raiders | 40c | 167$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Steelers | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Steelers | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Steelers | 50c | 146.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Steelers | 62c | 146.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Raiders | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…2193backed Raiders | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…cf42backed Steelers | 77c | 135.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Raiders | 39c | 132.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked Steelers | 62c | 132.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…918dbacked Steelers | 58c | 131.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Raiders | 38c | 130.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Steelers | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…476dbacked Steelers | 60c | 117$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Raiders | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raiders | 16c | 111.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Raiders | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Steelers | 63c | 105.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Raiders | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Steelers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…b86abacked Raiders | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Raiders | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Raiders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Steelers | 50c | 99.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Raiders | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Steelers | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…ff25backed Raiders | 29c | 96.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Steelers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Steelers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Raiders | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Raiders | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Steelers | 73c | 83.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Steelers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…787bbacked Steelers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Raiders | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Steelers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Steelers | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…6681backed Raiders | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Steelers | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb0…edf5backed Raiders | 57c | 52.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Steelers | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.