WNBA · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459d57b2d5d1db7ff2e647fd3a281b5b8f6912055d37935fe672005848c56acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f4f…12e2backed No | 50c | 10,073$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked Yes | 50c | 10,073$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Yes | 2c | 8,126$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 28c | 2,601$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,990$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,691$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,691$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 33c | 1,479$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,268$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 51c | 1,000$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.63 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 63c | 795.24$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Yes | 13c | 410$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 14c | 407.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 54c | 211$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked No | 63c | 193.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes | 23c | 158$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Yes | 25c | 140.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked Yes | 24c | 139.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed Yes | 52c | 131.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4000…78adbacked Yes | 49c | 99.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 98.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…0fc9backed Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Yes | 31c | 80.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 37c | 68.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 51c | 58.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…e2b2backed Yes | 28c | 46.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…2194backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…b8e1backed Yes | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…bdc4backed No | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…6b07backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…1877backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…8c82backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Dream win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Sky win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Connecticut Sun win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Fever win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Seattle Storm win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Mystics win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.