WNBA · resolved market
Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0f945b8203fcffb4391c08437d29f33bfb95401a462de1f0890bb023f1dfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 6cpaid | +788.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…25cabacked No | 50c | 10,038$5,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…f4c1backed Yes | 50c | 10,028$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 42c | 8,375$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 57c | 7,456$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…e595backed Yes | 40c | 2,003$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 2,000$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.74 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 57c | 1,699$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 71c | 1,560$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 1,046$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 60c | 810$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Yes | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…ec0bbacked No | 47c | 428.25$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 52c | 407.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…22a3backed Yes | 45c | 375$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 44c | 338$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…68e6backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 59c | 278.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Yes | 51c | 272.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Yes | 56c | 268.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 41c | 266.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 60c | 241.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 63c | 240.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Yes | 45c | 230$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…99b6backed Yes | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 54c | 174.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 7c | 173.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +466.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 38c | 164.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…3e62backed No | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…ceadbacked Yes | 72c | 138.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…61c9backed No | 13c | 109.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 40c | 109.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 51c | 105.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…b039backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c1…d979backed Yes | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 62c | 99.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…8ba5backed No | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…e450backed No | 39c | 96.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…8017backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…82cfbacked Yes | 51c | 49.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…df30backed Yes | 63c | 46.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…f95ebacked Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…1e4bbacked Yes | 63c | 37.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0a…fd4fbacked Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…04d8backed No | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…8b24backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bc…2715backed No | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked Yes | 57c | 30.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2da…8617backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…4211backed Yes | 54c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…91c9backed No | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…7077backed Yes | 72c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…edc0backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…38a7backed No | 60c | 25.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…d3a8backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…377abacked No | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…866fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a3d7backed Yes | 72c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f63…73cbbacked No | 61c | 18.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Dream win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Sky win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Connecticut Sun win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Fever win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Seattle Storm win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Mystics win the 2024 WNBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.