CS2 · resolved market
Will Eternal Fire win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f5b0aeb5764adb81ed57301ecef5ddd9ab4fc38e463e47795c313b4829f3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 6c | 1,978$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 65c | 1,308$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 64c | 807.79$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.8 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 160.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…274cbacked Yes | 35c | 133.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Yes | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 94.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 34c | 40.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…5c0cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…b334backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eternal Fire win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?this page
- Will B8 win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?No won
- Will Falcons win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?No won
- Will Legacy win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?No won
- Will MIBR win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?No won
- Will Monte win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?No won
- Will PAIN Gaming win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?No won
- Will SAW win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.