TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Giants vs. Steelers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Giants, Steelers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$447,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked Giants21c46,047$9,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,678.8632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…9b3ebacked Giants30c41,822$12,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,546.51825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Steelers72c33,540$24,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,391.141973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Giants22c25,735$5,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,613.577853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Steelers72c15,333$11,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,293.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants24c13,327$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.1810639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Giants31c11,274$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.8822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Giants5c9,446$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Steelers72c9,200$6,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,57619864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Steelers74c8,709$6,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.131250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Giants13c7,967$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.626944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Giants22c7,942$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.535038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Giants27c7,920$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.0412827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Giants23c7,743$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Giants29c7,603$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.5527339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Giants29c7,057$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.6136246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Giants7c7,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Giants23c6,956$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.185429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Steelers72c6,943$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.035848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Giants3c6,561$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5733328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Steelers70c6,553$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.212051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Steelers68c5,422$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.2810768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dda…8b1ebacked Steelers72c5,110$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.661464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Steelers75c4,653$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.7914452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Steelers76c4,321$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.422157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Steelers72c4,163$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.56947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Steelers72c3,888$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.566071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Steelers66c3,600$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2383043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Steelers72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98019361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Steelers73c3,425$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.414577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Giants31c3,001$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Giants19c2,801$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.418645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Steelers70c2,735$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.528556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Steelers72c2,450$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2f…746cbacked Giants30c2,430$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x892d…89a0backed Steelers75c2,375$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Giants12c2,325$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.323033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Giants28c2,181$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.554436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Giants1c1,961$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe799…3d4dbacked Steelers70c1,940$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.722055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Giants29c1,824$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5316036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fa…a8c3backed Steelers72c1,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Steelers71c1,552$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.152556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x708f…f236backed Giants27c1,444$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers71c1,250$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4914445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants3c1,234$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.744311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Steelers72c1,215$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.781070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb18…1f0ebacked Giants9c1,212$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Giants16c1,203$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.844422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Giants28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3367526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Giants15c1,172$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8614139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31d…a81cbacked Giants31c1,153$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Steelers70c1,075$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Giants28c1,075$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd765…55e4backed Giants12c1,039$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.692564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Steelers73c1,031$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3118658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Steelers70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Giants35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Steelers70c999.95$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9933047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants18c937.07$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Steelers71c905.72$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9216259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Giants30c900$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Giants24c840$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.68234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x700d…fa25backed Giants29c784.31$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8233…32fabacked Giants29c784.31$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c9…db91backed Steelers73c784.3$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfcc…632fbacked Steelers73c784.3$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Steelers72c700$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Giants3c630$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31147.9%9 W · 105 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb822…5400backed Giants29c625.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a9…e7a3backed Giants31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18660%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Giants27c599.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.999645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…30aabacked Steelers72c594.99$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bbf…1a63backed Giants28c579.18$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Giants25c568.59$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.581618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Giants15c541.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808321.7%18 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Giants9c540$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Giants28c537.04$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.065925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84e…bf09backed Giants31c533.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e58…be81backed Giants38c533$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Giants29c527.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.128856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Steelers70c525.92$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.382240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Steelers68c507.59$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.937556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Steelers72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…f213backed Steelers71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Giants27c499.97$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9916139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25fd…04f2backed Giants29c495.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Steelers72c490$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Giants29c490$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.14146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Steelers70c470$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14111945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Steelers72c466.73$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.023268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Steelers72c460.64$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891b…eee1backed Steelers71c457.75$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.759151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Giants31c455$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.558729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63d0…6c7abacked Steelers72c445.32$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.691625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cc…9c8ebacked Steelers72c440.28$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddd…5a93backed Giants30c440$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Steelers72c436.69$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8819564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42f…9617backed Giants31c417.61$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Steelers72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.