Middle East · resolved market
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc321fab4982c1d38d3b45dd7415bb2856d92f615437cfa613124bf514a23446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…ddbbbacked Yes | 8c | 62,264$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 20,700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 10c | 17,176$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.37 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2271backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,391$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 11c | 10,944$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…f1f0backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 15c | 9,464$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.78 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 10c | 9,395$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 9c | 8,885$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.62 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 14c | 7,879$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.55 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…9228backed Yes | 13c | 6,091$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 5c | 5,917$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,590$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.14 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 10c | 5,504$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.76 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed Yes | 13c | 5,312$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…dfa8backed Yes | 13c | 5,283$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 18c | 5,100$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.91 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…962ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 14c | 4,627$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.74 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 7c | 4,624$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 6c | 3,828$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 24c | 3,563$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.8 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 11c | 3,453$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 17c | 3,220$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.65 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…dbc0backed Yes | 10c | 3,160$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…00fcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,143$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,050$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…9a97backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 9c | 2,892$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 68c | 2,884$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.62 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,824$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 9c | 2,820$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…4897backed Yes | 18c | 2,775$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…0473backed Yes | 10c | 2,654$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…4b4ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,565$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…adf4backed Yes | 11c | 2,437$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 3c | 2,401$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 5c | 2,373$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,350$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…85abbacked Yes | 3c | 2,287$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,267$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,222$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…8845backed Yes | 10c | 2,057$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed Yes | 8c | 1,843$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 21c | 1,785$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 16c | 1,750$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 43c | 1,746$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.94 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,676$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,574$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 6c | 1,564$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 11c | 1,546$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c7f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,522$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…2497backed Yes | 15c | 1,503$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 7c | 1,497$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,492$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed No | 63c | 1,300$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…244fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,228$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed Yes | 9c | 1,222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 57c | 1,173$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed Yes | 11c | 1,152$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,144$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 1c | 1,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…27ebbacked No | 71c | 1,114$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,030$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed Yes | 12c | 1,004$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 53c | 994.07$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 72c | 990.09$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…195bbacked Yes | 13c | 957.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…d3b7backed Yes | 14c | 925.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…237cbacked Yes | 7c | 910.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 10c | 854.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…e135backed Yes | 11c | 792.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…978ebacked No | 55c | 788$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…70a9backed Yes | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 728.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed Yes | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…600cbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…2fb4backed Yes | 19c | 680.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…d7afbacked Yes | 9c | 645.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 30c | 637.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 3c | 627.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 624.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 57c | 601$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 62c | 593.47$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf2…75a4backed Yes | 2c | 589.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 15c | 584.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cef…22f3backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…6119backed No | 78c | 565.59$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 8c | 560.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…8769backed Yes | 10c | 560.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 15c | 549.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 37c | 539.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…88e2backed Yes | 9c | 528.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.